cam a22 4500 357361075 CHVBK 20201023094232.0 160219s2016 xxu||||| |||| 00 |eng d 1-58487-719-7 978-1-58487-719-6 (RERO)R008369846 AWC AWC RERO geheid JZ5675 .S65 2016 s1sp rero Sokolski Henry D. (IDREF)115084304 cre Underestimated our not so peaceful nuclear future Henry D. Sokolski Carlisle, PA Strategic Studies Institute and U.S. Army War College Press 2016 xxi, 130 pages illustrations, maps 23 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Strategic Studies Institute Monographs "January 2016." Includes bibliographical references (pages 83-130) Introduction -- What we think -- Where we are headed -- What might help "With the world focused on the nuclear crisis in Iran, it is tempting to think that addressing this case, North Korea, and the problem of nuclear terrorism is all that matters and is what matters most. Perhaps, but if states become more willing to use their nuclear weapons to achieve military advantage, the problem of proliferation will become much more unwieldy. In this case, U.S. security will be hostage not just to North Korea, Iran, or terrorists, but to nuclear proliferation more generally, diplomatic miscalculations, and wars between a much larger number of possible players. This, in a nutshell, is the premise of Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future, which explores what nuclear futures we may face over the next 3 decades and how we currently think about this future. Will nuclear weapons spread in the next 20 years to more nations than just North Korea and possibly Iran? How great will the consequences be? What can be done?"--Publisher's web site Nuclear nonproliferation Forecasting Nuclear weapons Forecasting Army War College (U.S.) Press (RERO)A023468621 Army War College (U.S.) Strategic Studies Institute (RERO)A013208648 BK020000 XK020000 XK020000 Metadata rights reserved rero RERO RE61087 RE61087 RE610870002 355.02(050) HEIA 7822/2016/1 RERO 100 1- Sokolski Henry D. (IDREF)115084304 cre RERO 490 0- Strategic Studies Institute Monographs RERO 710 2- Army War College (U.S.) Press (RERO)A023468621 RERO 710 2- Army War College (U.S.) Strategic Studies Institute (RERO)A013208648 SWISSBIB 357361075