Political Feasibility of Pension Reforms

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Silke Uebelmesser]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2004
Enthalten in:
Topics in Economic Analysis & Policy, 4/1(2004-09-08)
Format:
Artikel (online)
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024 7 0 |a 10.2202/1538-0653.1162  |2 doi 
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100 1 |a Uebelmesser  |D Silke  |u 1CES, University of Munich, and CESifo, uebelmesser@lmu.de 
245 1 0 |a Political Feasibility of Pension Reforms  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Silke Uebelmesser] 
520 3 |a The impending demographic crisis calls for fundamental reforms of old-age security. In a democracy, however, reforms require the support of the majority. A reform that aims at reducing the size of unfunded pension systems is supported by the young and opposed by the old. As long as the young have the majority, this reform is feasible; as soon as society becomes a gerontocracy, there is risk of further expansion. We determine for Germany, France and Italy the latest point in time at which a majority is in favour of a reform. For this, we calculate for each year the "indifference age” as the age of the cohort that is not affected by the reform and the "median age” as the age of the politically decisive cohort. In Germany, a reform can be democratically enforced until 2012. France becomes a gerontocracy in 2014 and Italy as early as 2006. 
540 |a ©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston 
690 7 |a Demographic crisis  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a pension reform  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a political feasibility  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a median age  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a indifference age  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a France  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Germany  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Italy  |2 nationallicence 
773 0 |t Topics in Economic Analysis & Policy  |d De Gruyter  |g 4/1(2004-09-08)  |q 4:1  |1 2004  |2 4  |o bejeap 
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950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 100  |E 1-  |a Uebelmesser  |D Silke  |u 1CES, University of Munich, and CESifo, uebelmesser@lmu.de 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Topics in Economic Analysis & Policy  |d De Gruyter  |g 4/1(2004-09-08)  |q 4:1  |1 2004  |2 4  |o bejeap 
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