caa a22 4500 378898965 CHVBK 20180305123513.0 cr unu---uuuuu 161128e20040817xx s 000 0 eng 10.2202/1538-0653.1285 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)gruyter-10.2202/1538-0653.1285 Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections: Who Blames Whom for What [Elektronische Daten] [Daniel Eisenberg, Jonathan Ketcham] In United States presidential elections, the incumbent party's fortunes depend significantly on recent economic conditions, as numerous studies have shown. Many details of how economic voting takes place, however, are still not well understood. Here we present evidence on four issues. 1) Which is more important for determining people's votes, national or local economic conditions? 2) What time frame do people consider in economic voting? 3) Which demographic groups are most sensitive to the economy in their voting behavior? 4) How does economic voting depend on the political context—in particular, whether a candidate is running for re-election, and whether the incumbent party also controls Congress? Our study includes the first county-level analysis of economic voting in presidential elections. We find the answers to our four questions are: 1) national conditions, by far; 2) the most recent year; 3) blacks, females, and the non-elderly; and 4) no. ©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston h11 nationallicence economic voting nationallicence president nationallicence presidential election nationallicence Eisenberg Daniel University of Michigan, daneis@umich.edu aut Ketcham Jonathan University of Southern California, jketcham@berkeley.edu aut Topics in Economic Analysis & Policy De Gruyter 4/1(2004-08-17) 4:1 2004 4 bejeap https://doi.org/10.2202/1538-0653.1285 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.2202/1538-0653.1285 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Eisenberg Daniel University of Michigan, daneis@umich.edu aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Ketcham Jonathan University of Southern California, jketcham@berkeley.edu aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Topics in Economic Analysis & Policy De Gruyter 4/1(2004-08-17) 4:1 2004 4 bejeap CC0 http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0 nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-gruyter