A Nonparametric Dimension Test of the Term Structure

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Javier Gil-Bazo, Gonzalo Rubio]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2004
Enthalten in:
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 8/3(2004-09-16)
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 378906828
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024 7 0 |a 10.2202/1558-3708.1117  |2 doi 
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245 0 2 |a A Nonparametric Dimension Test of the Term Structure  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Javier Gil-Bazo, Gonzalo Rubio] 
520 3 |a In an economy with multiple sources of risk, the short-term interest rate does not capture all the information that determines the conditional distribution of bond yields. This is also true for path-dependent term structure models. In either case, the current short rate level is not a sufficient statistic for the conditional density of future short rates. This paper studies the empirical relevance of both issues from a time-series nonparametric perspective. The analysis is formulated as a test for the dependence of the short rate drift and diffusion on variables other than the short rate, and exploits Ait-Sahalia, Bickel, and Stocker (2001) dimension reduction method. The paper explores the finite sample performance of the method and applies the test to US interest rate data. Results reject a single-factor Markovian model, although conclusions are sensitive to the choice of additional conditioning variables. 
540 |a ©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston 
690 7 |a E43, E47, C14  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Gil-Bazo  |D Javier  |u Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, javier.gil.bazo@uc3m.es  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Rubio  |D Gonzalo  |u Universidad del Pais Vasco  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics  |d De Gruyter  |g 8/3(2004-09-16)  |q 8:3  |1 2004  |2 8  |o snde 
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950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Gil-Bazo  |D Javier  |u Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, javier.gil.bazo@uc3m.es  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Rubio  |D Gonzalo  |u Universidad del Pais Vasco  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics  |d De Gruyter  |g 8/3(2004-09-16)  |q 8:3  |1 2004  |2 8  |o snde 
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