Constructing Non-linear Gaussian Time Series by Means of a Simplified State Space Representation

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Paolo Vidoni]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2004
Enthalten in:
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 8/2(2004-05-18)
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 378929844
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245 1 0 |a Constructing Non-linear Gaussian Time Series by Means of a Simplified State Space Representation  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Paolo Vidoni] 
520 3 |a State space models provide a useful stochastic description for dynamic phenomena, based on unobserved or latent variables. When the model rests on linear and Gaussian assumptions there exists a well-known iterative procedure, called the Kalman filter, which gives analytic updating recursion for the filtering, the prediction and the smoothing distributions. However, this is rare and a state space model does not usually admit such a filter. For this reason, instead of looking for analytic solutions, a number of papers aim to define alternative procedures, giving numerical or approximate solutions. This paper concerns a particular class of models based on the assumption that the mixed process, obtained by alternating states and observations, is a Markov process. The main features of this class of models, proposed for stochastic volatility description by Barndorff-Nielsen (1997), are emphasized. In this framework, some new non-linear Gaussian state space models, computationally tractable and of potential interest for applications, may be defined. 
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