Assessing Chaos in Time Series: Statistical Aspects and Perspectives

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Simone Giannerini, Rodolfo Rosa]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2004
Enthalten in:
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 8/2(2004-05-18)
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 378929887
LEADER caa a22 4500
001 378929887
003 CHVBK
005 20180305123627.0
007 cr unu---uuuuu
008 161128e20040518xx s 000 0 eng
024 7 0 |a 10.2202/1558-3708.1215  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)gruyter-10.2202/1558-3708.1215 
245 0 0 |a Assessing Chaos in Time Series: Statistical Aspects and Perspectives  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Simone Giannerini, Rodolfo Rosa] 
520 3 |a Chaos theory offers to time series analysis new perspectives as well as concepts and ideas that have a through contribution to statistics. On the other hand, statistical methodology has shown to play a crucial role for the comprehension of nonlinear and chaotic phenomena. One peculiar feature of chaotic systems is sensitivity to initial conditions, which is responsible of the unpredictability we experience in such phenomena. One of the most popular quantity that measures this property is the maximum Lyapunov characteristic exponent (MLCE). In this paper we discuss from a statistical perspective the problems arising in estimating both the MLCE and its generalizations in time series, issues that have recently deserved attention in the community of time series analysts. We also present a method based on resampling in order to assign confidence interval to the estimates of the MLCE. It is shown that in addition to answering the question of the presence of chaos, these methods give relevant contributions to the characterization of many other aspects of nonlinear time series. 
540 |a ©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston 
700 1 |a Giannerini  |D Simone  |u University of Bologna, Italy, giannerini@stat.unibo.it  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Rosa  |D Rodolfo  |u University of Bologna, Italy, rosa@stat.unibo.it  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics  |d De Gruyter  |g 8/2(2004-05-18)  |q 8:2  |1 2004  |2 8  |o snde 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.2202/1558-3708.1215  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
908 |D 1  |a research article  |2 jats 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.2202/1558-3708.1215  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Giannerini  |D Simone  |u University of Bologna, Italy, giannerini@stat.unibo.it  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Rosa  |D Rodolfo  |u University of Bologna, Italy, rosa@stat.unibo.it  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics  |d De Gruyter  |g 8/2(2004-05-18)  |q 8:2  |1 2004  |2 8  |o snde 
900 7 |b CC0  |u http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0  |2 nationallicence 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-gruyter