Moving Holidays and Seasonal Adjustment: The Case of Turkey

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[C. Emre Alper, S. Boragan Aruoba]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2004
Enthalten in:
Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, 2/3(2004-12-01), 44-50
Format:
Artikel (online)
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245 0 0 |a Moving Holidays and Seasonal Adjustment: The Case of Turkey  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [C. Emre Alper, S. Boragan Aruoba] 
520 3 |a When holiday variation is present so that the dates of certain holidays change from year to year, the relatively automatic seasonal adjustment procedures may fail to extract the seasonal component from a series since the holiday effects are not confined to that component. Turkey, a predominantly Muslim country, constitutes a good example of moving holidays since the official calendar is Gregorian, based on the cycles of the Earth around the sun, while significant Islamic holidays are tied to the Hegirian calendar, based on the lunar cycles. One finds significant deterministic seasonality remains in the conventionally de-seasonalized time series and removing the effects of religious seasonality using a very simple method improves the qualities of the de-seasonalized component. 
540 |a ©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston 
690 7 |a JEL Classification: C22  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a calendar variation  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Hegirian calendar  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Alper  |D C. Emre  |u Department of Economics, Bogazici University, alper@boun.edu.tr  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Aruoba  |D S. Boragan  |u University of Maryland  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Review of Middle East Economics and Finance  |d De Gruyter  |g 2/3(2004-12-01), 44-50  |q 2:3<44  |1 2004  |2 2  |o rmeef 
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950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Alper  |D C. Emre  |u Department of Economics, Bogazici University, alper@boun.edu.tr  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Aruoba  |D S. Boragan  |u University of Maryland  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Review of Middle East Economics and Finance  |d De Gruyter  |g 2/3(2004-12-01), 44-50  |q 2:3<44  |1 2004  |2 2  |o rmeef 
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