caa a22 4500 445302119 CHVBK 20180317142601.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170323e20100201xx s 000 0 eng 10.1134/S0001433810010044 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1134/S0001433810010044 Variations of temperature and hydrologic regimes of the region of Ladoga Lake catchment basin in the 20th and 21st centuries according to data of modern climate models [Elektronische Daten] [V. Rumyantsev, L. Efimova, G. Golitsyn, V. Khon] In the region of the Ladoga Lake catchment basin, we perform data analysis on a set of different modern climate models with different Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios in the 20th and 21st centuries; this set includes global models such as ECHAM4/OPYC3 (Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany), HadCM3 (Hadley Centre Coupled Model, England), and RCAO (Rossby Centre Regional Atmosphere-Ocean) models. Two variants of the boundary conditions for these climate models (Rossby Center of Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, SMHI) are used. We present the results of a diagnosis of the model-predicted near-surface temperature (T), precipitation (P), evaporation (E), and water budget (P-E) in the Ladoga Lake catchment based on their comparison with empirical data in twentieth century. We obtain scenario estimates of the variations of temperature and hydrologic regimes of Ladoga Lake catchment when IPCC IS92a, A2, and B2 scenarios are fulfilled, describing the prognostic growth of anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosol to the atmosphere, and discuss the recommendations for their use. Pleiades Publishing, Ltd., 2010 Rumyantsev V. Limnological Institute, ul. Sevastyanova 9, 196105, St. Petersburg, Russia aut Efimova L. Limnological Institute, ul. Sevastyanova 9, 196105, St. Petersburg, Russia aut Golitsyn G. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, per. Pyzhevskii 3, 199017, Moscow, Russia aut Khon V. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, per. Pyzhevskii 3, 199017, Moscow, Russia aut Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics SP MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica 46/1(2010-02-01), 21-28 0001-4338 46:1<21 2010 46 11485 https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433810010044 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433810010044 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Rumyantsev V. Limnological Institute, ul. Sevastyanova 9, 196105, St. Petersburg, Russia aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Efimova L. Limnological Institute, ul. Sevastyanova 9, 196105, St. Petersburg, Russia aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Golitsyn G. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, per. Pyzhevskii 3, 199017, Moscow, Russia aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Khon V. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, per. Pyzhevskii 3, 199017, Moscow, Russia aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics SP MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica 46/1(2010-02-01), 21-28 0001-4338 46:1<21 2010 46 11485 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer