caa a22 4500 445315040 CHVBK 20180317142643.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170323e20110701xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10552-011-9781-0 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10552-011-9781-0 Reconstruction of long-term tobacco consumption trends in Australia and their relationship to lung cancer mortality [Elektronische Daten] [Tim Adair, Damian Hoy, Zoe Dettrick, Alan Lopez] Objectives: Analysis of long-term trends in smoking and causes of death in Australia are prevented by a lack of detailed tobacco consumption data prior to World War II. The objective of this study was to reconstruct data on tobacco consumption in Australia back to 1887 and examine its relationship with population-level lung cancer mortality, corrected for biases and miscoding. Methods: Back-extrapolation techniques and existing tobacco sales data were combined to estimate tobacco consumption prior to the 1940s. The relationship of tobacco and lung cancer mortality was examined with descriptive period and cohort analyses and log-linear Poisson regression models of cumulative cohort consumption. Results: The results show that tobacco consumption rose steadily in Australia for the majority of years from 1887 to World War II, before increasing drastically in the following years and then falling sharply to the present day. Lung cancer mortality was strongly influenced by tobacco consumption, peaking 20-25years after the peak in tobacco consumption for men and 25-30years for women. Regression models found cumulative consumption a very strong predictor of mortality. Conclusions: Period and cohort trends in smoking and lung cancer were similar to many other Western countries. The effectiveness of smoking reduction campaigns in Australia clearly reduced male lung cancer mortality and provides guidance for other countries, such as China, where smoking prevalence remains high. Springer Science+Business Media B.V., 2011 Lung cancer nationallicence Mortality nationallicence Tobacco smoking nationallicence Australia nationallicence Adair Tim School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Level 2, Public Health Building, Herston Rd, 4006, Herston, QLD, Australia aut Hoy Damian School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Level 2, Public Health Building, Herston Rd, 4006, Herston, QLD, Australia aut Dettrick Zoe School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Level 2, Public Health Building, Herston Rd, 4006, Herston, QLD, Australia aut Lopez Alan School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Level 2, Public Health Building, Herston Rd, 4006, Herston, QLD, Australia aut Cancer Causes & Control Springer Netherlands 22/7(2011-07-01), 1047-1053 0957-5243 22:7<1047 2011 22 10552 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10552-011-9781-0 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10552-011-9781-0 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Adair Tim School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Level 2, Public Health Building, Herston Rd, 4006, Herston, QLD, Australia aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Hoy Damian School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Level 2, Public Health Building, Herston Rd, 4006, Herston, QLD, Australia aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Dettrick Zoe School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Level 2, Public Health Building, Herston Rd, 4006, Herston, QLD, Australia aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Lopez Alan School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Level 2, Public Health Building, Herston Rd, 4006, Herston, QLD, Australia aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Cancer Causes & Control Springer Netherlands 22/7(2011-07-01), 1047-1053 0957-5243 22:7<1047 2011 22 10552 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer