caa a22 4500 445384190 CHVBK 20180317143027.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170323e20110801xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10021-011-9441-y doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10021-011-9441-y Abandonment and Expansion of Arable Land in Europe [Elektronische Daten] [Erez Hatna, Martha Bakker] Abandonment of arable land is often assumed to happen mostly in marginal areas where the conditions for arable cultivation are relatively unfavorable, whereas arable expansion is expected to occur mostly in areas with favorable conditions. This assumption, used in many land-use change forecasts, was never properly tested, mainly because the relatively short period of full-coverage land-use inventories did not allow a systematic analysis of the phenomena. With the recent release of CORINE 2006 this has changed. In this article, we explore the typical locations of abandonment and expansion of arable land in Europe during the period 1990-2006 by means of logistic regressions. More specifically, we test whether or not locations of abandonment and expansion can be inferred from the location characteristics of arable land in 1990. If the above assumption holds, this should be the case. We demonstrate that although arable expansion indeed happens in locations that resemble the bulk of arable land in 1990 (the presumably favorable locations), arable abandonment does not necessarily happen in locations that resemble the bulk of uncultivated land (that is, the presumably unfavorable locations). In other words, the assumption does not hold. Particularly, areas close to the road network were found to be associated with both high abandonment rates and high expansion rates, which suggest that abandonment is not limited to areas that are marginal in terms of agricultural production. The Author(s), 2011 land-use change nationallicence Europe nationallicence agriculture nationallicence cropland nationallicence land abandonment nationallicence Hatna Erez Department of Geography, Planning and Environment, Institute for Management Research, Radboud University, 6500 HK, Nijmegen, The Netherlands aut Bakker Martha Land Dynamics Group, Department of Environmental Science, Wageningen University, 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands aut Ecosystems Springer-Verlag 14/5(2011-08-01), 720-731 1432-9840 14:5<720 2011 14 10021 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-011-9441-y text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-011-9441-y text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Hatna Erez Department of Geography, Planning and Environment, Institute for Management Research, Radboud University, 6500 HK, Nijmegen, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Bakker Martha Land Dynamics Group, Department of Environmental Science, Wageningen University, 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Ecosystems Springer-Verlag 14/5(2011-08-01), 720-731 1432-9840 14:5<720 2011 14 10021 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer