caa a22 4500 445800666 CHVBK 20180317145140.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170323e20111001xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s00704-010-0395-3 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00704-010-0395-3 Persistence and long-term memories of daily maximum and minimum temperatures in southern South America [Elektronische Daten] [Gustavo Naumann, Walter Vargas, Juan Minetti] The persistence and long-term memories in daily maximum and minimum temperature series during the instrumental period in southern South America were analysed. Here, we found a markedly seasonal pattern both for short- and long-term memories that can lead to enhanced predictability on intraseasonal timescales. In addition, well-defined spatial patterns of these properties were found in the region. Throughout the entire region, the strongest dependence was observed in autumn and early winter. In the Patagonia region only, the temperatures exhibited more memory during the spring. In general, these elements indicate that nonlinear interactions exist between the annual cycles of temperature and its anomalies. Knowledge of the spatiotemporal behaviour of these long-term memories can be used in the building of stochastic models that only use persistence. It is possible to propose two objective forecast models based on linear interactions associated with persistence and one that allows for the use of information from nonlinear interactions that are manifested in the form of forerunners. Springer-Verlag, 2011 Naumann Gustavo National Scientific and Technological Research Council (CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina aut Vargas Walter National Scientific and Technological Research Council (CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina aut Minetti Juan National Scientific and Technological Research Council (CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina aut Theoretical and Applied Climatology Springer Vienna 105/3-4(2011-10-01), 341-355 0177-798X 105:3-4<341 2011 105 704 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-010-0395-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-010-0395-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Naumann Gustavo National Scientific and Technological Research Council (CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Vargas Walter National Scientific and Technological Research Council (CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Minetti Juan National Scientific and Technological Research Council (CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Theoretical and Applied Climatology Springer Vienna 105/3-4(2011-10-01), 341-355 0177-798X 105:3-4<341 2011 105 704 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer