caa a22 4500 445890398 CHVBK 20180317145614.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170323e20111101xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s11116-011-9360-y doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s11116-011-9360-y Modeling the choice continuum: an integrated model of residential location, auto ownership, bicycle ownership, and commute tour mode choice decisions [Elektronische Daten] [Abdul Pinjari, Ram Pendyala, Chandra Bhat, Paul Waddell] The integrated modeling of land use and transportation choices involves analyzing a continuum of choices that characterize people's lifestyles across temporal scales. This includes long-term choices such as residential and work location choices that affect land-use, medium-term choices such as vehicle ownership, and short-term choices such as travel mode choice that affect travel demand. Prior research in this area has been limited by the complexities associated with the development of integrated model systems that combine the long-, medium- and short-term choices into a unified analytical framework. This paper presents an integrated simultaneous multi-dimensional choice model of residential location, auto ownership, bicycle ownership, and commute tour mode choices using a mixed multidimensional choice modeling methodology. Model estimation results using the San Francisco Bay Area highlight a series of interdependencies among the multi-dimensional choice processes. The interdependencies include: (1) self-selection effects due to observed and unobserved factors, where households locate based on lifestyle and mobility preferences, (2) endogeneity effects, where any one choice dimension is not exogenous to another, but is endogenous to the system as a whole, (3) correlated error structures, where common unobserved factors significantly and simultaneously impact multiple choice dimensions, and (4) unobserved heterogeneity, where decision-makers show significant variation in sensitivity to explanatory variables due to unobserved factors. From a policy standpoint, to be able to forecast the "true” causal influence of activity-travel environment changes on residential location, auto/bicycle ownership, and commute mode choices, it is necessary to capture the above-identified interdependencies by jointly modeling the multiple choice dimensions in an integrated framework. Springer Science+Business Media, LLC., 2011 Multi-dimensional choice modeling nationallicence Simultaneous equations model nationallicence Tour mode choice nationallicence Endogeneity nationallicence Residential self-selection nationallicence Built environment and travel behavior nationallicence Pinjari Abdul Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, ENB 118, Tampa, FL, USA aut Pendyala Ram School of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Arizona State University, Room ECG252, 85287-5306, Tempe, AZ, USA aut Bhat Chandra Department of Civil, Architectural & Environmental Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 1 University Station C1761, 78712-0278, Austin, TX, USA aut Waddell Paul Department of City and Regional Planning, University of California, Berkeley, 228 Wurster Hall #1850, 94720-1850, Berkeley, CA, USA aut Transportation Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 38/6(2011-11-01), 933-958 0049-4488 38:6<933 2011 38 11116 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-011-9360-y text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-011-9360-y text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Pinjari Abdul Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, ENB 118, Tampa, FL, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Pendyala Ram School of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Arizona State University, Room ECG252, 85287-5306, Tempe, AZ, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Bhat Chandra Department of Civil, Architectural & Environmental Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 1 University Station C1761, 78712-0278, Austin, TX, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Waddell Paul Department of City and Regional Planning, University of California, Berkeley, 228 Wurster Hall #1850, 94720-1850, Berkeley, CA, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Transportation Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 38/6(2011-11-01), 933-958 0049-4488 38:6<933 2011 38 11116 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer