caa a22 4500 445890754 CHVBK 20180317145615.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170323e20110301xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s11116-010-9299-4 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s11116-010-9299-4 Analyzing the time frame for the transition from leisure-cyclist to commuter-cyclist [Elektronische Daten] [Hyochul Park, Yong Lee, Hee Shin, Keemin Sohn] A recent survey reported that many commuter-cyclists had enjoyed leisure bicycling on a regular basis prior to becoming a commuter-cyclist. While bicycling for leisure, it is assumed that they considered various factors that led them to consider becoming commuter-cyclists. This study began with the question of how long it would take for a leisure-cyclist to become a commuter-cyclist, and it focused on the time that elapsed between leisure-cyclists transitioning to commuter-cycling. In order to analyze the time frame, it was hypothesized that the probability that a leisure-cyclist would become a commuter-cyclist at a certain time would be conditional on the duration that elapsed from the onset of leisure cycling till that time, which represents the "snowballing” or "inertial” dynamics of duration. A robust methodology, which is known as the "hazard model,” was adopted to accommodate such characteristics of a time period. In addition, various external covariates such as individual-specific characteristics, variables associated with the current or previous commuting mode, supply variables regarding bicycle facilities, and individual latent propensities were adopted to account for the duration of changes that would be generally applicable. As a result, many useful results were derived that could be used in fomenting policies to promote cycling to work. It was found that government should invest in establishing segregated lanes for leisure- and commuter-cyclists. It also turned out that a long distance to work hinders a leisure-cyclist from progressing to commuter-cycling. According to the results, young white-collar workers who live in high-rise apartments and enjoy intensive leisure-cycling in groups, are a good target toward whom promotions for commuter-cycling should be focused. However, an unfortunate development was that, when compared with car-commuters, it was found that transit-commuters are more likely to become commuter-cyclists. Springer Science+Business Media, LLC., 2010 Commuter-cyclist nationallicence Leisure-cyclist nationallicence Hazard nationallicence Duration nationallicence Covariate effect nationallicence Park Hyochul Department of Urban Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 221, Heukseok-dong, Dongjak-gu, Seoul, Korea aut Lee Yong Department of Urban Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 221, Heukseok-dong, Dongjak-gu, Seoul, Korea aut Shin Hee Korea Transportation Institute, 1160, Shimindaero Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang-si, Gyeonggi-do, Korea aut Sohn Keemin Department of Urban Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 221, Heukseok-dong, Dongjak-gu, Seoul, Korea aut Transportation Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 38/2(2011-03-01), 305-319 0049-4488 38:2<305 2011 38 11116 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-010-9299-4 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-010-9299-4 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Park Hyochul Department of Urban Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 221, Heukseok-dong, Dongjak-gu, Seoul, Korea aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Lee Yong Department of Urban Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 221, Heukseok-dong, Dongjak-gu, Seoul, Korea aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Shin Hee Korea Transportation Institute, 1160, Shimindaero Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang-si, Gyeonggi-do, Korea aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Sohn Keemin Department of Urban Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 221, Heukseok-dong, Dongjak-gu, Seoul, Korea aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Transportation Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 38/2(2011-03-01), 305-319 0049-4488 38:2<305 2011 38 11116 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer