caa a22 4500 463167856 CHVBK 20180406164804.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170326e20070101xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10530-006-9004-x doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10530-006-9004-x Ecological niche modeling as a predictive tool: silverand bighead carps in North America [Elektronische Daten] [Pingfu Chen, E. O. Wiley, Kristina Mcnyset] The silver carp and bighead carp (Cyprinidae), native to eastern Asia, have been introduced into the United States in attempts to improve water quality in aquaculture ponds, reservoirs, and sewage pools. Escaped or released specimens from fish farms have been reported in many states, and both species are already locally established and spreading further. We used the Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Prediction (GARP) to model the niches of these two carps in their native ranges using hydrologic and general environmental parameters in concert with native distributional data. The results accurately predicted native occurrence data withheld from the modeling process (P < 0.01). We then projected the niche models onto the North American landscape. Native niche range models significantly predicted known occurrence data from North American introductions (P < 0.001). Further, the models suggest that both species have the potential of spreading throughout the eastern U.S. and selected areas of the West Coast. Springer Science+Business Media, Inc., 2006 Bighead Carp nationallicence GARP nationallicence Invasive species nationallicence Niche modeling nationallicence Silver Carp nationallicence Chen Pingfu Natural History Museum and Biodiversity Research Center, The University of Kansas, 1345 Jayhawk Blvd., 66045-7561, Lawrence, KS, USA aut Wiley E. O. Natural History Museum and Biodiversity Research Center, The University of Kansas, 1345 Jayhawk Blvd., 66045-7561, Lawrence, KS, USA aut Mcnyset Kristina Natural History Museum and Biodiversity Research Center, The University of Kansas, 1345 Jayhawk Blvd., 66045-7561, Lawrence, KS, USA aut Biological Invasions Kluwer Academic Publishers 9/1(2007-01-01), 43-51 1387-3547 9:1<43 2007 9 10530 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-006-9004-x text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-006-9004-x text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Chen Pingfu Natural History Museum and Biodiversity Research Center, The University of Kansas, 1345 Jayhawk Blvd., 66045-7561, Lawrence, KS, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Wiley E. O. Natural History Museum and Biodiversity Research Center, The University of Kansas, 1345 Jayhawk Blvd., 66045-7561, Lawrence, KS, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Mcnyset Kristina Natural History Museum and Biodiversity Research Center, The University of Kansas, 1345 Jayhawk Blvd., 66045-7561, Lawrence, KS, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Biological Invasions Kluwer Academic Publishers 9/1(2007-01-01), 43-51 1387-3547 9:1<43 2007 9 10530 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer