caa a22 4500 463170725 CHVBK 20180406164812.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170326e20070301xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10940-006-9016-9 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10940-006-9016-9 Using Booking Data to Model Drug User Arrest Rates: A Preliminary to Estimating the Prevalence of Chronic Drug Use [Elektronische Daten] [William Rhodes, Ryan Kling, Patrick Johnston] Public policy is often concerned with the size and characteristics of special populations that are difficult to reach in household surveys. Chronic drug users, who often live outside conventional households, provide the illustration motivating this paper. An alternative to household surveys is to question chronic drug users where they congregate—jails, treatment programs, and shelters, for example. Using such opportunistic data for prevalence estimation raises difficult problems for statistical inference: Study subjects who arrive at the collection points cannot be deemed a random sample of the general population. However, if we could estimate the rates at which chronic drug users arrive at the collection points, then we could use those estimates to weight the sample to represent the population. This paper presents a modified Poisson mixture model used to estimate the stochastic process that accounts for how chronic drug users get arrested. It uses that model to estimate arrest rates for 38 counties using up to sixteen quarters of data from the Arrestee Drug Abuse Monitoring survey. Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 2006 Chronic drug use nationallicence Hard-to-reach populations nationallicence Arrest rates nationallicence Endogenous stratification nationallicence Poisson mixture models nationallicence Model-based estimation nationallicence Rhodes William Domestic Health Division, Abt Associates Inc., 55 Wheeler Street, 02138-1168, Cambridge, MA, USA aut Kling Ryan Domestic Health Division, Abt Associates Inc., Cambridge, MA aut Johnston Patrick Clinical Research Program, Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA aut Journal of Quantitative Criminology Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 23/1(2007-03-01), 1-22 0748-4518 23:1<1 2007 23 10940 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-006-9016-9 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-006-9016-9 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Rhodes William Domestic Health Division, Abt Associates Inc., 55 Wheeler Street, 02138-1168, Cambridge, MA, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Kling Ryan Domestic Health Division, Abt Associates Inc., Cambridge, MA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Johnston Patrick Clinical Research Program, Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Journal of Quantitative Criminology Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 23/1(2007-03-01), 1-22 0748-4518 23:1<1 2007 23 10940 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer