caa a22 4500 463170741 CHVBK 20180406164812.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170326e20070901xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10940-007-9025-3 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10940-007-9025-3 Space-Time Patterns of Risk: A Cross National Assessment of Residential Burglary Victimization [Elektronische Daten] [Shane Johnson, Wim Bernasco, Kate Bowers, Henk Elffers, Jerry Ratcliffe, George Rengert, Michael Townsley] Using epidemiological techniques for testing disease contagion, it has recently been found that in the wake of a residential burglary, the risk to nearby homes is temporarily elevated. This paper demonstrates the ubiquity of this phenomenon by analyzing space-time patterns of burglary in 10 areas, located in five different countries. While the precise patterns vary, for all areas, houses within 200m of a burgled home were at an elevated risk of burglary for a period of at least two weeks. For three of the five countries, differences in these patterns may partly be explained by simple differences in target density. The findings inform theories of crime concentration and offender targeting strategies, and have implications for crime forecasting and crime reduction more generally. Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 2007 Burglary risk nationallicence Space-time clustering nationallicence Cross national comparison nationallicence Monte-Carlo simulation nationallicence Johnson Shane UCL Jill Dando Institute of Crime Science, University College London, Second Floor, Brook House, 2-16 Torrington Place, WC1E 7HN, London, UK aut Bernasco Wim Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR), Leiden, The Netherlands aut Bowers Kate UCL Jill Dando Institute of Crime Science, University College London, Second Floor, Brook House, 2-16 Torrington Place, WC1E 7HN, London, UK aut Elffers Henk Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR), Leiden, The Netherlands aut Ratcliffe Jerry Temple University, Philadelphia, USA aut Rengert George Temple University, Philadelphia, USA aut Townsley Michael UCL Jill Dando Institute of Crime Science, University College London, Second Floor, Brook House, 2-16 Torrington Place, WC1E 7HN, London, UK aut Journal of Quantitative Criminology Kluwer Academic Publishers-Plenum Publishers; http://www.springer-ny.com 23/3(2007-09-01), 201-219 0748-4518 23:3<201 2007 23 10940 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-007-9025-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-007-9025-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Johnson Shane UCL Jill Dando Institute of Crime Science, University College London, Second Floor, Brook House, 2-16 Torrington Place, WC1E 7HN, London, UK aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Bernasco Wim Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR), Leiden, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Bowers Kate UCL Jill Dando Institute of Crime Science, University College London, Second Floor, Brook House, 2-16 Torrington Place, WC1E 7HN, London, UK aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Elffers Henk Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR), Leiden, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Ratcliffe Jerry Temple University, Philadelphia, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Rengert George Temple University, Philadelphia, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Townsley Michael UCL Jill Dando Institute of Crime Science, University College London, Second Floor, Brook House, 2-16 Torrington Place, WC1E 7HN, London, UK aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Journal of Quantitative Criminology Kluwer Academic Publishers-Plenum Publishers; http://www.springer-ny.com 23/3(2007-09-01), 201-219 0748-4518 23:3<201 2007 23 10940 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer