caa a22 4500 463170784 CHVBK 20180406164812.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170326e20071201xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10940-007-9033-3 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10940-007-9033-3 Selectively Incapacitating Frequent Offenders: Costs and Benefits of Various Penal Scenarios [Elektronische Daten] [Arjan Blokland, Paul Nieuwbeerta] A small number of offenders are responsible for a disproportionate share of total crime. Policy makers have been seeking to reduce crime more efficiently by targeting corrections at these frequent offenders. Thus far, both macro- and micro-level research have yielded mixed results regarding the effects of these kinds of selective policies. The current study uses data from the Netherlands Criminal Career and Life-course Study to estimate the incapacitative effects of alternative selective prison policies. Using the rolling cohorts method, implementations of various penal scenarios differing in selection rate, sentence disparity and selective accuracy are simulated. Results show that it is hard for selective policies to yield a positive societal result: costs of imprisonment typically exceed benefits gained from crimes prevented. Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 2007 Selective incapacitation nationallicence Frequent offenders nationallicence Rolling-cohorts nationallicence Cost-benefit analysis nationallicence Blokland Arjan Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR), P.O. Box 792, 2300 AT, Leiden, The Netherlands aut Nieuwbeerta Paul Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR), P.O. Box 792, 2300 AT, Leiden, The Netherlands aut Journal of Quantitative Criminology Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 23/4(2007-12-01), 327-353 0748-4518 23:4<327 2007 23 10940 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-007-9033-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-007-9033-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Blokland Arjan Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR), P.O. Box 792, 2300 AT, Leiden, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Nieuwbeerta Paul Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR), P.O. Box 792, 2300 AT, Leiden, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Journal of Quantitative Criminology Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 23/4(2007-12-01), 327-353 0748-4518 23:4<327 2007 23 10940 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer