caa a22 4500 463244702 CHVBK 20180405153322.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170326e20070901xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10935-007-0107-7 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10935-007-0107-7 Derzon James CPHRE, Battelle, 2101 Wilson Boulevard #800, 22201-3008, Arlington, VA, USA aut Using Correlational Evidence to Select Youth for Prevention Programming [Elektronische Daten] [James Derzon] In a period of increased accountability and reduced prevention resources, the effective targeting of those limited resources is critical. One way in which limited resources are focused is to identify and provide services to those most at risk for later substance use. Risk status, or propensity, is typically estimated from correlational evidence. Using meta-analytic techniques this paper examines the evidence that 29 of the 35 constructs specified by the CTC risk and protective factor model are related to alcohol, tobacco, or marijuana use. While these factors are generally demonstrated to be predictive of substance use, the strength of relation is modest. Ten factors show a significantly different strength of relation with tobacco than with alcohol and marijuana. Given the correlations observed and the rate of substance use in the population, providing only selective intervention services likely ignores the majority of those who will later use substances. Although selection improves the percentage of those receiving services who are likely to benefit from services, the evidence summarized in this study suggests selective interventions will omit many of those who will likely use substances. Given typical base and selection rates, smaller program effects on universal populations may keep a greater number of youth from becoming alcohol, tobacco, or marijuana involved. Editors' Strategic Implications: The data make a strong and provocative argument for primary prevention of youth substance abuse that should be heard by policymakers and service providers involved in strategic planning and appropriate deployment of resources. Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 2007 Meta-analysis nationallicence Youth nationallicence Selection nationallicence Risk and protective factors nationallicence Alcohol nationallicence Tobacco nationallicence Marijuana nationallicence Intervention nationallicence The Journal of Primary Prevention Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 28/5(2007-09-01), 421-447 0278-095X 28:5<421 2007 28 10935 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10935-007-0107-7 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 review-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10935-007-0107-7 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 100 1- Derzon James CPHRE, Battelle, 2101 Wilson Boulevard #800, 22201-3008, Arlington, VA, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- The Journal of Primary Prevention Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 28/5(2007-09-01), 421-447 0278-095X 28:5<421 2007 28 10935 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer