caa a22 4500 467896917 CHVBK 20180406152806.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e20060701xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s11019-005-3349-2 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s11019-005-3349-2 The Temporal Stage Fallacy: A novel Statistical Fallacy in the medical literature [Elektronische Daten] [David Shier, J. Tilson] Celebrated for disproving the traditional view that lack of oxygen at birth (perinatal asphyxia) contributes significantly to cerebral palsy, a 1986 New England Journal of Medicine article by Karin Nelson and Jonas Ellenberg engineered a new consensus in the medical community: that lack of oxygen at birth rarely causes cerebral palsy. We demonstrate that the article's central argument relies on straightforwardly fallacious statistical reasoning, and we discuss significant implications -- e.g. how carefully fetuses are monitored during labor and delivery, expert testimony in malpractice cases, and public policy decisions. Springer, 2006 asphyxia neonatorum nationallicence asphyxia neonatorum/complications nationallicence birth injuries/complications nationallicence cerebral palsy nationallicence cerebral palsy/etiology nationallicence Daubert nationallicence Ellenberg nationallicence Jonas nationallicence expert testimony nationallicence fetal anoxia nationallicence fetal distress/complications nationallicence hypoxia-ischemia nationallicence brain/etiology nationallicence malpractice nationallicence movement disorders/etiology/physiopathology/prevention & control nationallicence National Collaborative Perinatal Project nationallicence National Institutes of Health (US) nationallicence Nelson nationallicence Karin nationallicence New England Journal of Medicine nationallicence obstetrics nationallicence perinatology nationallicence Shier David Department of Philosophy, Washington State University, P.O. Box 645130, 99164-5130, Pullman, WA, USA aut Tilson J. Sommers, Schwartz, Silver & Schwartz, 2000 Town Center, Suite 900, 48075, Southfield, MI aut Medicine, Health Care and Philosophy Kluwer Academic Publishers 9/2(2006-07-01), 243-247 1386-7423 9:2<243 2006 9 11019 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11019-005-3349-2 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11019-005-3349-2 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Shier David Department of Philosophy, Washington State University, P.O. Box 645130, 99164-5130, Pullman, WA, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Tilson J. Sommers, Schwartz, Silver & Schwartz, 2000 Town Center, Suite 900, 48075, Southfield, MI aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Medicine, Health Care and Philosophy Kluwer Academic Publishers 9/2(2006-07-01), 243-247 1386-7423 9:2<243 2006 9 11019 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer