caa a22 4500 46789938X CHVBK 20180406152813.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e20060601xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10308-006-0059-1 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10308-006-0059-1 van der Geest Willem Director, European Institute for Asian Studies, Brussels, Belgium aut Shaping factors of EU-East Asia relations [Elektronische Daten] [Willem van der Geest] Six shaping factors will determine the short-to-medium term outlook for East Asia. Two of these are geo-political flashpoints, with implications beyond the region—North Korea and China-Taiwan cross-strait relations. For both of these at least some logic of a' solution' will need to be worked out. Intra-regional tensions between China, the fastest growing economy in the world, and Japan, the second largest economy in the world, will need accommodation and compromise. Fourthly, the relationship between the US and China remains ambivalent, veering between strategic partnership and strategic competition. Long term stability in the region will require that the US-China relationship becomes more predictable, which will only be possible if both players define their long-term interests innovatively and in different ways. Probably the most important shaping factor for the region is the domestic political economy of China. The nexus between Chinese economic growth and its domestic political stability needs to remain in tact—without economic growth no political stability, while stability is a precondition for continued growth. These five shaping factors together will determine the scope of multi-lateral problem-solving frameworks for the region. The Kuala Lumpur first East Asia Summit has shown the determination of leaders in the region to co-ordinate, share information and exchange views. However, the decision not to go beyond the current institutional set-up and to retain ASEAN's centrality points to a continuation of the present ‘shallow' integration for some time to come. Springer-Verlag, 2006 Asia Europe Journal Springer-Verlag 4/2(2006-06-01), 131-149 1610-2932 4:2<131 2006 4 10308 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10308-006-0059-1 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10308-006-0059-1 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 100 1- van der Geest Willem Director, European Institute for Asian Studies, Brussels, Belgium aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Asia Europe Journal Springer-Verlag 4/2(2006-06-01), 131-149 1610-2932 4:2<131 2006 4 10308 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer