caa a22 4500 467904421 CHVBK 20180406152829.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e20060301xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10661-006-2015-3 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10661-006-2015-3 A gis-based assessment on the vulnerability and future extent of the tropical forests of the congo basin [Elektronische Daten] [Quanfa Zhang, Christopher Justice, Mingxi Jiang, Jake Brunner, David Wilkie] This paper examines the vulnerability of the Congo Basin's forests through a GIS platform, taking into consideration the variables of population growth, road density, logging concession, and forest fragmentation. The assessment indicates that the forests will continue to shrink towards the interior over the next 50 years. Current contiguous forests will fragment into three large blocks, including one on the west side of the Congo River and two in the Democratic Republic of Congo, while a large number of small forest patches will retain in the periphery of the large blocks. The study shows that integrated GIS assessment of the driving forces of tropical deforestation can shed light on the future forest distribution and provide a tool to address the broader implications of social and economic development for tropical deforestation. Springer Science + Business Media, Inc., 2006 GIS nationallicence assessment nationallicence forest vulnerability nationallicence deforestation nationallicence Congo Basin nationallicence Zhang Quanfa Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA aut Justice Christopher Department of Geography, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA aut Jiang Mingxi Center for Ecosystem Studies, Wuhan Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 430074, Wuhan, P. R. China aut Brunner Jake World Resources Institute, Washington, D.C., USA aut Wilkie David 18 Clark Lane, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA aut Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Springer Netherlands 114/1-3(2006-03-01), 107-121 0167-6369 114:1-3<107 2006 114 10661 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-006-2015-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-006-2015-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Zhang Quanfa Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Justice Christopher Department of Geography, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Jiang Mingxi Center for Ecosystem Studies, Wuhan Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 430074, Wuhan, P. R. China aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Brunner Jake World Resources Institute, Washington, D.C., USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Wilkie David 18 Clark Lane, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Springer Netherlands 114/1-3(2006-03-01), 107-121 0167-6369 114:1-3<107 2006 114 10661 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer