caa a22 4500 467918635 CHVBK 20180406152910.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e20060201xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10584-006-0432-5 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10584-006-0432-5 The Enso-Fire Dynamic in Insular Southeast Asia [Elektronische Daten] [Douglas fuller, Kevin Murphy] We examined the spatiotemporal patterns of fire in insular Southeast Asia from July 1996 to December 2001 using a set of consistent, nighttime fire observations provided by the Along Track Scanning Radiometer (ATSR) sensor. Monthly ATSR fire counts were analyzed relative to georeferenced climatic and land-cover data from a variety of sources. We found that fires were strongly correlated with Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) (r = −0.75) and Niño 3.4 index (r = 0.72) in forested land-cover types within the equatorial belt (5.5∘S-5.5∘N). Cross-correlation analysis revealed that detrended SOI was modestly correlated (r = 0.42) with detrended monthly fire count with a positive lag of four months. However, our analysis also revealed that fire counts reached their maximum 6 months before the absolute maximum of SOI. Annual sums of SOI (∑SOI) and fire counts revealed linearity for ∑SOI≤ 0. Overall, the results suggest that ENSO indices may have limited predictive utility at a monthly time scale, but that temporal aggregation and additional fire observations may enhance our capacity to forecast fires in different cover types based on ENSO data. Springer Science + Business Media, Inc., 2006 fuller Douglas Department of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Miami, 33124, Coral Gables, Florida, U.S.A. aut Murphy Kevin Global Science & Technology Inc., 10210 Greenbelt Road, 20706, Lanham, Maryland, U.S.A. aut Climatic Change Springer Netherlands 74/4(2006-02-01), 435-455 0165-0009 74:4<435 2006 74 10584 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-0432-5 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-0432-5 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- fuller Douglas Department of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Miami, 33124, Coral Gables, Florida, U.S.A aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Murphy Kevin Global Science & Technology Inc., 10210 Greenbelt Road, 20706, Lanham, Maryland, U.S.A aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Climatic Change Springer Netherlands 74/4(2006-02-01), 435-455 0165-0009 74:4<435 2006 74 10584 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer