caa a22 4500 467918880 CHVBK 20180406152910.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e20060601xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10584-005-9020-3 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10584-005-9020-3 Olsen J. Institute for Water Resources, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, CEIWR-PD, Casey Building, 7701 Telegraph Road, 22315, Alexandria, VA, USA aut Climate Change and Floodplain Management in the United States [Elektronische Daten] [J. Olsen] Federal agencies use flood frequency estimates to delineate flood risk, manage the National Flood Insurance Program, and ensure that Federal programs are economically efficient. The assumption behind traditional flood risk analysis is that climate is stationary, but anthropogenic climate change and better knowledge of interdecadal climate variability challenge the validity of the assumption. This paper reviews several alternative statistical models for flood risk estimation that do not assume climate stationarity. Some models require subjective judgement or presuppose an understanding of the causes of the underlying non-stationarity, which is problematic given our current knowledge of the interaction of climate and floods. Although currently out of favor, hydrometeorological models have been used for engineering design as alternatives to statistical models and could be adapted to different climate conditions. Floodplain managers should recognize the potentially greater uncertainty in flood risk estimation due to climate change and variability and try to incorporate the uncertainties into floodplain management decision-making and regulation. Springer Science+Business Media, Inc., 2006 Climatic Change Kluwer Academic Publishers 76/3-4(2006-06-01), 407-426 0165-0009 76:3-4<407 2006 76 10584 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-9020-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-9020-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 100 1- Olsen J. Institute for Water Resources, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, CEIWR-PD, Casey Building, 7701 Telegraph Road, 22315, Alexandria, VA, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Climatic Change Kluwer Academic Publishers 76/3-4(2006-06-01), 407-426 0165-0009 76:3-4<407 2006 76 10584 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer