caa a22 4500 467919046 CHVBK 20180406152911.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e20060501xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10584-005-9019-9 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10584-005-9019-9 Seasonal Climate Forecasts - Potential Agricultural-Risk Management Tools? [Elektronische Daten] [E. Klopper, C. Vogel, W. Landman] The importance of anchoring seasonal climate forecasts to user needs is examined in this paper. Although it is generally accepted that seasonal climate forecasts have potential value, many constraints preclude the optimal use of these forecasts, including the way forecasts are produced, interpreted and applied in a variety of decision-making processes. In South Africa, a variety of agricultural users exists, ranging from the small-scale farmer to larger commercial farming entities. Useful seasonal are those produced and disseminated with the end user in mind. A retroactive test period during the 1990s, evaluates the perceived impact of incorporating seasonal rainfall forecasts into decisions made by commercial crop farmers in the central parts of South Africa. Although a small sample of commercial farmers was interviewed, the results show some benefits to commercial agriculture if seasonal climate forecast information is continuously and effectively applied over the long-term. Springer Science+Business Media, Inc., 2006 Klopper E. University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa aut Vogel C. University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa aut Landman W. University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa aut Climatic Change Springer Netherlands 76/1-2(2006-05-01), 73-90 0165-0009 76:1-2<73 2006 76 10584 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-9019-9 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-9019-9 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Klopper E. University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Vogel C. University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Landman W. University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Climatic Change Springer Netherlands 76/1-2(2006-05-01), 73-90 0165-0009 76:1-2<73 2006 76 10584 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer