caa a22 4500 467922586 CHVBK 20180406152921.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e20060701xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s00477-005-0027-0 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00477-005-0027-0 Ranjan Ram International Agricultural Trade and Policy Center, Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA aut Economic impacts of Pink Hibiscus Mealybug in Florida and the United States [Elektronische Daten] [Ram Ranjan] This paper estimates the expected annual impacts of the Pink Hibiscus Mealybug infestation on the economies of Florida and the rest of the United States. The approach involves a Markov chain analysis wherein both short run and long run expected damages from infestation are calculated. Use is made of the CLIMEX model that predicts the potential pest-establishment regions in the US. While predictions based upon the CLIMEX model extend the scope of damages beyond Florida, the damages are significantly dependent upon the rate of arrival and detection of species in those regions. Damages are significantly higher when a longer time horizon is considered. When nursery owners bear the full cost of quarantines in the form of loss of sales and treatment costs of infected plants, the cost-effectiveness of quarantines as a regulatory tool is diminished. The long run propensity of the system, in terms of the fraction of time spent in the possible ‘states' of infestation and control, determines the extent of damages, and not the annual value of crops that could be potential hosts to the pest. Springer-Verlag, 2006 Pink Hibiscus Mealybug nationallicence Markov Process nationallicence Quarantine nationallicence Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment Springer-Verlag 20/5(2006-07-01), 353-362 1436-3240 20:5<353 2006 20 477 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-005-0027-0 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-005-0027-0 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 100 1- Ranjan Ram International Agricultural Trade and Policy Center, Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment Springer-Verlag 20/5(2006-07-01), 353-362 1436-3240 20:5<353 2006 20 477 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer