caa a22 4500 467922608 CHVBK 20180406152921.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e20060701xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s00477-005-0025-2 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00477-005-0025-2 Bierkens M. Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, P.O. Box 80115, 3508, Utrecht, The Netherlands aut Designing a monitoring network for detecting groundwater pollution with stochastic simulation and a cost model [Elektronische Daten] [M. Bierkens] A method is presented to design monitoring networks for detecting groundwater pollution at industrial sites. The goal is to detect the pollution at some distance from the site's boundary so that it can be cleaned up or hydrologically contained before contaminating groundwater outside the site. It is assumed that pollution may occur anywhere on the site, that transport is by advection only and that no retardation and chemical reactions take place. However, the approach can be easily extended to include designated (and uncertain) source areas, dispersion and reactive transport. The method starts from the premise that it is impossible to detect 100% of all the contaminant plumes with reasonable costs and therefore seeks a balance between the risk of pollution and network density. The design approach takes account of uncertainty in the flow field by simulating realisations of conductivity, groundwater head and associated flow fields, using geostatistical simulation and a groundwater flow model. The realisations are conditioned to conductivity and head observations that may already be present on the site. The result is an ensemble of flow fields that is further analysed using a particle track program. From this the probability of missing a contaminant plume originating anywhere on the terrain can be estimated for a given network. From this probability follows the risk, i.e. the expected costs of an undetected pollution. The total costs of the monitoring strategy are calculated by adding the risk of pollution to the costs of installing and maintaining the monitoring wells and the routinely performed chemical analyses. By repeating this procedure for networks of varying well numbers, the best network is chosen as the one that minimises total cost. The method is illustrated with a simulated example showing the added worth of exploratory wells for characterising hydraulic conductivity of a site. Springer-Verlag, 2005 Groundwater pollution nationallicence Monitoring nationallicence Stochastic simulation nationallicence Costs nationallicence Optimization nationallicence Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment Springer-Verlag 20/5(2006-07-01), 335-351 1436-3240 20:5<335 2006 20 477 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-005-0025-2 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-005-0025-2 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 100 1- Bierkens M. Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, P.O. Box 80115, 3508, Utrecht, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment Springer-Verlag 20/5(2006-07-01), 335-351 1436-3240 20:5<335 2006 20 477 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer