caa a22 4500 469037423 CHVBK 20180323132759.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e19920701xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/BF00139728 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/BF00139728 Extreme events in a changing climate: Variability is more important than averages [Elektronische Daten] [Richard Katz, Barbara Brown] Extreme events act as a catalyst for concern about whether the climate is changing. Statistical theory for extremes is used to demonstrate that the frequency of such events is relatively more dependent on any changes in the variability (more generally, the scale parameter) than in the mean (more generally, the location parameter) of climate. Moreover, this sensitivity is relatively greater the more extreme the event. These results provide additional support for the conclusions that experiments using climate models need to be designed to detect changes in climate variability, and that policy analysis should not rely on scenarios of future climate involving only changes in means. Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1992 Katz Richard Environmental and Societal Impacts Group, National Center for Atmospheric Research, 80307, Boulder, CO, USA aut Brown Barbara Environmental and Societal Impacts Group, National Center for Atmospheric Research, 80307, Boulder, CO, USA aut Climatic Change Kluwer Academic Publishers 21/3(1992-07-01), 289-302 0165-0009 21:3<289 1992 21 10584 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00139728 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00139728 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Katz Richard Environmental and Societal Impacts Group, National Center for Atmospheric Research, 80307, Boulder, CO, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Brown Barbara Environmental and Societal Impacts Group, National Center for Atmospheric Research, 80307, Boulder, CO, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Climatic Change Kluwer Academic Publishers 21/3(1992-07-01), 289-302 0165-0009 21:3<289 1992 21 10584 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer