caa a22 4500 469075708 CHVBK 20180323132934.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e19920901xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/BF01254606 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/BF01254606 Chaudhry Mahinder Department of Political and Economic Science, Royal Military College of Canada, K7k 5L0, Kingston, Ontario, Canada aut Population growth trends in India: 1991 census [Elektronische Daten] [Mahinder Chaudhry] The decennial census counted the total population of India at 843.931 million as of the sunrise of March 1, 1991. The total is 160.6 million higher than that of a decade earlier in 1981. The actual census count exceeded by 45 million the official projections for 1991 based on the 1971 census. However, the official projections for the same year based on the 1981 census fell short by 7.6 million only. Most of the observed differences are explained by the slower decline in the fertility levels. The population growth ratepeaked during 1971-81, perhaps in 1972-73 (based on the Sample Registration Scheme data). The average annualexponential growth rate declined marginally to 2.11 per cent (4.5%) after having remained at a plateau for the previous two decades of 1961-71 and 1971-81. At this point in time, the fertility and mortality trends indicate that India will reach the replacement level fertility [Net Reproductive Rate of Unity] by the years 2010-2015. It can be said with a greater degree of certainty that the official target of reaching the replacement level fertility by the year 2000a.d. will not be reached. Based on the 1991 census results, it can be said that India will reach the billion mark by the turn of the century. The World Bank projects a population of 1,350 million by the year 2025a.d., and a stationary population of 1,862 million by the year 2150a.d., assuming that the replacement level fertility [Net Reproductive Rate = 1] in India is reached about the year 2015a.d. Human Sciences Press, Inc, 1992 Population and Environment Kluwer Academic Publishers-Human Sciences Press 14/1(1992-09-01), 31-48 0199-0039 14:1<31 1992 14 11111 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01254606 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01254606 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 100 1- Chaudhry Mahinder Department of Political and Economic Science, Royal Military College of Canada, K7k 5L0, Kingston, Ontario, Canada aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Population and Environment Kluwer Academic Publishers-Human Sciences Press 14/1(1992-09-01), 31-48 0199-0039 14:1<31 1992 14 11111 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer