caa a22 4500 469097000 CHVBK 20180323133034.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170328e19920401xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/BF00317163 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/BF00317163 Predicted changes in the synchrony of larval emergence and budburst under climatic warming [Elektronische Daten] [R. Dewar, A. Watt] Summary: The impact of climatic warming on the synchrony of insect and plant phenologies was modelled in the case of winter moth (Operophtera brumata) and Sitka spruce (Picea sitchensis) in the Scottish uplands. The emergence of winter moth larvae was predicted with a thermal time requirement model and the budburst of Sitka spruce was predicted from a previously published model (Cannell and Smith 1983) based on winter chilling and thermal time. The date of emergence of winter moth larvae was predicted to occur earlier under climatic warming but the date of budburst of Sitka spruce was not greatly changed, resulting in decreased synchrony between larval emergence and budburst. The general question of how a change of climate might affect phenological synchrony and insect abundance is discussed. Springer-Verlag, 1992 Climatic warming impacts nationallicence Winter moth nationallicence Sitka spruce nationallicence Phenological synchrony nationallicence Dewar R. Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Bush Estate, EH26 0QB, Penicuik, Midlothian, Scotland aut Watt A. Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Bush Estate, EH26 0QB, Penicuik, Midlothian, Scotland aut Oecologia Springer-Verlag 89/4(1992-04-01), 557-559 0029-8549 89:4<557 1992 89 442 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00317163 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00317163 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Dewar R. Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Bush Estate, EH26 0QB, Penicuik, Midlothian, Scotland aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Watt A. Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Bush Estate, EH26 0QB, Penicuik, Midlothian, Scotland aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Oecologia Springer-Verlag 89/4(1992-04-01), 557-559 0029-8549 89:4<557 1992 89 442 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer