caa a22 4500 475765133 CHVBK 20180406123603.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170329e20000301xx s 000 0 eng 10.1023/A:1008717715657 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1023/A:1008717715657 van Tulder Frank WODC/Ministry of Defence, PO Box 20301, 2500 EH, The Hague, The Netherlands aut Crimes and the need for Sanction Capacity in the Netherlands: Trends and Backgrounds [Elektronische Daten] [Frank van Tulder] This article presents recent trends in, and forecasts of, the need for sanction capacity in the Netherlands. Different types of crime show different trends at the moment. The need for prison capacity is still growing but at a smaller rate than before. The Jukebox-1 model, which is used for (a part of) the forecasts, is described. It relates the trends in the capacity needed for prisons and task-sanctions for adults to trends in crime and law enforcement activities. Trends in crime are in turn related to demographic and socio-economic factors and law enforcement performance indicators. Some policy simulations with the model are sketched. Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2000 crime trends nationallicence forecast nationallicence prison capacity nationallicence sanction capacity nationallicence scenario study nationallicence European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research Kluwer Academic Publishers 8/1(2000-03-01), 91-106 0928-1371 8:1<91 2000 8 10610 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008717715657 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008717715657 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 100 1- van Tulder Frank WODC/Ministry of Defence, PO Box 20301, 2500 EH, The Hague, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research Kluwer Academic Publishers 8/1(2000-03-01), 91-106 0928-1371 8:1<91 2000 8 10610 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer