caa a22 4500 475800699 CHVBK 20180406123736.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170329e20000601xx s 000 0 eng 10.1023/A:1006655300380 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1023/A:1006655300380 Local Context, Retrospective Economic Evaluations, and Voting: The 1997 General Election in England and Wales [Elektronische Daten] [Ron Johnston, Charles Pattie, Daniel Dorling, Iain MacAllister, Helena Tunstall, David Rossiter] Local context is widely believed to influence voting behavior with, for example, the voters' evaluation of the state of their local economy affecting whether they choose to reward or punish the incumbent government. Such reward-punish models apply in the United Kingdom at the national scale: those who believe that the government has delivered prosperity vote for its return, whereas those who believe that its policies have produced a worsening economic situation vote against it. This article shows that the operation of this calculus varies spatially, according to the level of unemployment in the voter's home area: the higher the local level of unemployment the lower the probability of someone who thought that government polices had delivered national prosperity voting for the incumbent government. It also shows that this is a consequence of cross-pressured situations. Those who thought that the government's policies had delivered both national and local prosperity were very likely to vote for it; those who thought that the policies had delivered national but not local prosperity were less likely to vote for it—especially in areas of high unemployment. Plenum Publishing Corporation, 2000 Johnston Ron School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, University Rd., BS8 1SS, Bristol, UK aut Pattie Charles aut Dorling Daniel aut MacAllister Iain aut Tunstall Helena aut Rossiter David aut Political Behavior Kluwer Academic Publishers-Plenum Publishers 22/2(2000-06-01), 121-143 0190-9320 22:2<121 2000 22 11109 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1006655300380 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1006655300380 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Johnston Ron School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, University Rd., BS8 1SS, Bristol, UK aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Pattie Charles aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Dorling Daniel aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- MacAllister Iain aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Tunstall Helena aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Rossiter David aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Political Behavior Kluwer Academic Publishers-Plenum Publishers 22/2(2000-06-01), 121-143 0190-9320 22:2<121 2000 22 11109 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer