caa a22 4500 475813707 CHVBK 20180406123804.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170329e20000101xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/PL00001101 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/PL00001101 Identification of Future Earthquake Sources in the Carpatho-Balkan Orogenic Belt Using Morphostructural Criteria [Elektronische Daten] [A. I. Gorshkov, I. V. Kuznetsov, G. F. Panza, A. A. Soloviev] —The Carpatho-Balkan mountain belt, the most seismic zone of the Circum-Pannonian region, is studied with a goal to identify sites where shallow earthquakes with M≥ 6.5 may occur. The study is based on the assumption that strong earthquakes associate with disjunctive nodes that are formed around the junctions of lineaments. In the study region, lineaments and disjunctive nodes were defined by a morphostructural zonation method. The morphostructural map compiled at the scale of 1:1,000,000 shows a hierarchical system of homogeneous blocks, the network of morphostructural lineaments and the loci of disjunctive nodes. Shallow earthquakes with M s ≥ 5.0 recorded in the region were found to be nucleated at the mapped nodes. In the Carpatho-Balkan mountain belt, the nodes where earthquakes with M≥ 6.5 may occur have been identified using morphostructural criteria of high seismicity, previously derived from pattern-recognition of potential seismic nodes in the Pamirs-Tien Shan region. In total, 64 of the 165 nodes mapped in the studied region have been defined to be prone to earthquakes of M≥ 6.5. These 64 nodes include the seven where earthquakes of M s ≥ 6.0 already took place. Birkhäuser Verlag Basel,, 2000 Key Words: Block-structure, morphostructural zonation, criteria of seismicity, Carpatho-Balkan mountain belt nationallicence Gorshkov A. I. International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia., RU aut Kuznetsov I. V. International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia., RU aut Panza G. F. Department of Earth' Sciences, University of Trieste, Italy., IT aut Soloviev A. A. International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia., RU aut https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00001101 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00001101 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Gorshkov A. I. International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia., RU aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Kuznetsov I. V. International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia., RU aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Panza G. F. Department of Earth' Sciences, University of Trieste, Italy., IT aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Soloviev A. A. International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia., RU aut Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer