caa a22 4500 477058450 CHVBK 20180405111353.0 cr unu---uuuuu 170330e19961201xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/BF01872152 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/BF01872152 The impact of ozone depletion on skin cancer incidence: An assessment of the Netherlands and Australia [Elektronische Daten] [W. Martens, M. den Elzen, H. Slaper, P. Koken, B. Willems] Evidence indicates that the concentration of stratospheric ozone has already decreased globally over the past several years and additional decreases are to be expected over the coming decades. A further depletion of the ozone layer would lead to an increase in the amount of ultraviolet (UV) radiation. One of the adverse effects of particularly UV-B radiation on human health would be an increase in the incidence of skin cancer. In this study an integrated model is presented to assist in assessing the changes in skin cancer incidences in relation to changes in the amount of stratospheric ozone, for the Netherlands and Australia. Although surrounded by large uncertainties, model results show that, in view of the several delay mechanisms and, additionally, the ageing of the population, future increases in skin cancer incidence cannot be reversed. Baltzer Science Publishers, 1996 Ozone depletion nationallicence skin cancer nationallicence integrated assessment model nationallicence Martens W. Department of Mathematics, Maastricht University, PO Box 616, 6200 MD, Maastricht, The Netherlands aut den Elzen M. National Institute of Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, PO Box 1, 3720 BA, Bilthoven, The Netherlands aut Slaper H. National Institute of Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, PO Box 1, 3720 BA, Bilthoven, The Netherlands aut Koken P. Department of Mathematics, Maastricht University, PO Box 616, 6200 MD, Maastricht, The Netherlands aut Willems B. Department of Mathematics, Maastricht University, PO Box 616, 6200 MD, Maastricht, The Netherlands aut Environmental Modeling & Assessment Kluwer Academic Publishers 1/4(1996-12-01), 229-240 1420-2026 1:4<229 1996 1 10666 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01872152 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01872152 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Martens W. Department of Mathematics, Maastricht University, PO Box 616, 6200 MD, Maastricht, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- den Elzen M. National Institute of Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, PO Box 1, 3720 BA, Bilthoven, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Slaper H. National Institute of Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, PO Box 1, 3720 BA, Bilthoven, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Koken P. Department of Mathematics, Maastricht University, PO Box 616, 6200 MD, Maastricht, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Willems B. Department of Mathematics, Maastricht University, PO Box 616, 6200 MD, Maastricht, The Netherlands aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Environmental Modeling & Assessment Kluwer Academic Publishers 1/4(1996-12-01), 229-240 1420-2026 1:4<229 1996 1 10666 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer