Quantifying the Behavior of Stock Correlations Under Market Stress

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Tobias Preis, Dror Y. Kenett, H. Eugene Stanley, Dirk Helbing, Eshel Ben-Jacob]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2012
Enthalten in:
Scientific Reports, 2, p. 752
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 528785524
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024 7 0 |a 10.3929/ethz-b-000058375  |2 doi 
024 7 0 |a 10.1038/srep00752  |2 doi 
035 |a (ETHRESEARCH)oai:www.research-collecti.ethz.ch:20.500.11850/58375 
245 0 0 |a Quantifying the Behavior of Stock Correlations Under Market Stress  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Tobias Preis, Dror Y. Kenett, H. Eugene Stanley, Dirk Helbing, Eshel Ben-Jacob] 
246 0 |a Sci Rep 
506 |a Open access  |2 ethresearch 
520 3 |a Understanding correlations in complex systems is crucial in the face of turbulence, such as the ongoing financial crisis. However, in complex systems, such as financial systems, correlations are not constant but instead vary in time. Here we address the question of quantifying state-dependent correlations in stock markets. Reliable estimates of correlations are absolutely necessary to protect a portfolio. We analyze 72 years of daily closing prices of the 30 stocks forming the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). We find the striking result that the average correlation among these stocks scales linearly with market stress reflected by normalized DJIA index returns on various time scales. Consequently, the diversification effect which should protect a portfolio melts away in times of market losses, just when it would most urgently be needed. Our empirical analysis is consistent with the interesting possibility that one could anticipate diversification breakdowns, guiding the design of protected portfolios. 
540 |a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported  |u http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0  |2 ethresearch 
690 7 |a Statistics  |2 ethresearch 
690 7 |a Statistical physics, thermodynamics and nonlinear dynamics  |2 ethresearch 
690 7 |a Physics  |2 ethresearch 
690 7 |a Information theory and computation  |2 ethresearch 
700 1 |a Preis  |D Tobias  |e joint author 
700 1 |a Kenett  |D Dror Y.  |e joint author 
700 1 |a Stanley  |D H. Eugene  |e joint author 
700 1 |a Helbing  |D Dirk  |e joint author 
700 1 |a Ben-Jacob  |D Eshel  |e joint author 
773 0 |t Scientific Reports  |d London : Nature Publishing Group  |g 2, p. 752  |x 2045-2322 
856 4 0 |u http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/58375  |q text/html  |z WWW-Backlink auf das Repository (Open access) 
908 |D 1  |a Journal Article  |2 ethresearch 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 856  |E 40  |u http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/58375  |q text/html  |z WWW-Backlink auf das Repository (Open access) 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Preis  |D Tobias  |e joint author 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Kenett  |D Dror Y.  |e joint author 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Stanley  |D H. Eugene  |e joint author 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Helbing  |D Dirk  |e joint author 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Ben-Jacob  |D Eshel  |e joint author 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Scientific Reports  |d London : Nature Publishing Group  |g 2, p. 752  |x 2045-2322 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
949 |B ETHRESEARCH  |F ETHRESEARCH  |b ETHRESEARCH  |j Journal Article  |c Open access