Hazardous thunderstorm intensification over Lake Victoria
| LEADER | caa a22 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | 528786199 | ||
| 005 | 20190713030956.0 | ||
| 007 | cr unu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 180924s2016 xx s 000 0 eng | ||
| 024 | 7 | 0 | |a 10.3929/ethz-b-000120618 |2 doi |
| 024 | 7 | 0 | |a 10.1038/ncomms12786 |2 doi |
| 035 | |a (ETHRESEARCH)oai:www.research-collecti.ethz.ch:20.500.11850/120618 | ||
| 245 | 0 | 0 | |a Hazardous thunderstorm intensification over Lake Victoria |h [Elektronische Daten] |c [Wim Thiery, id_orcid 0000-0002-5183-6145, Edouard Léopold; id_orcid 0000-0003-3322-9330 Davin, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Kristopher Bedka, Stef Lhermitte, Nicole P.M. Van Lipzig] |
| 246 | 0 | |a Nat Commun | |
| 506 | |a Open access |2 ethresearch | ||
| 520 | 3 | |a Weather extremes have harmful impacts on communities around Lake Victoria, where thousands of fishermen die every year because of intense night-time thunderstorms. Yet how these thunderstorms will evolve in a future warmer climate is still unknown. Here we show that Lake Victoria is projected to be a hotspot of future extreme precipitation intensification by using new satellite-based observations, a high-resolution climate projection for the African Great Lakes and coarser-scale ensemble projections. Land precipitation on the previous day exerts a control on night-time occurrence of extremes on the lake by enhancing atmospheric convergence (74%) and moisture availability (26%). The future increase in extremes over Lake Victoria is about twice as large relative to surrounding land under a high-emission scenario, as only over-lake moisture advection is high enough to sustain Clausius-Clapeyron scaling. Our results highlight a major hazard associated with climate change over East Africa and underline the need for high-resolution projections to assess local climate change. | |
| 540 | |a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International |u http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |2 ethresearch | ||
| 700 | 1 | |a Thiery |D Wim |e joint author | |
| 700 | 0 | |a id_orcid 0000-0002-5183-6145 |e joint author | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Davin |D Edouard Léopold; id_orcid 0000-0003-3322-9330 |e joint author | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Seneviratne |D Sonia I. |e joint author | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Bedka |D Kristopher |e joint author | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Lhermitte |D Stef |e joint author | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Van Lipzig |D Nicole P.M. |e joint author | |
| 773 | 0 | |t Nature Communications |d London : Nature Publishing |g 7, p. 12786 |x 2041-1723 | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/120618 |q text/html |z WWW-Backlink auf das Repository (Open access) |
| 908 | |D 1 |a Journal Article |2 ethresearch | ||
| 950 | |B ETHRESEARCH |P 856 |E 40 |u http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/120618 |q text/html |z WWW-Backlink auf das Repository (Open access) | ||
| 950 | |B ETHRESEARCH |P 700 |E 1- |a Thiery |D Wim |e joint author | ||
| 950 | |B ETHRESEARCH |P 700 |E -- |a id_orcid 0000-0002-5183-6145 |e joint author | ||
| 950 | |B ETHRESEARCH |P 700 |E 1- |a Davin |D Edouard Léopold; id_orcid 0000-0003-3322-9330 |e joint author | ||
| 950 | |B ETHRESEARCH |P 700 |E 1- |a Seneviratne |D Sonia I. |e joint author | ||
| 950 | |B ETHRESEARCH |P 700 |E 1- |a Bedka |D Kristopher |e joint author | ||
| 950 | |B ETHRESEARCH |P 700 |E 1- |a Lhermitte |D Stef |e joint author | ||
| 950 | |B ETHRESEARCH |P 700 |E 1- |a Van Lipzig |D Nicole P.M. |e joint author | ||
| 950 | |B ETHRESEARCH |P 773 |E 0- |t Nature Communications |d London : Nature Publishing |g 7, p. 12786 |x 2041-1723 | ||
| 898 | |a BK010053 |b XK010053 |c XK010000 | ||
| 949 | |B ETHRESEARCH |F ETHRESEARCH |b ETHRESEARCH |j Journal Article |c Open access | ||