Impact of parametric uncertainties on the present-day climate and on the anthropogenic aerosol effect

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Ulrike Lohmann, Sylvaine Ferrachat]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2010
Enthalten in:
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (23), pp. 11373-11383
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 52878725X
LEADER naa a22 4500
001 52878725X
005 20180924065503.0
007 cr unu---uuuuu
008 180924s2010 xx s 000 0 eng
024 7 0 |a 10.3929/ethz-b-000028835  |2 doi 
024 7 0 |a 10.5194/acp-10-11373-2010  |2 doi 
035 |a (ETHRESEARCH)oai:www.research-collecti.ethz.ch:20.500.11850/28835 
100 1 |a Lohmann  |D Ulrike 
245 1 0 |a Impact of parametric uncertainties on the present-day climate and on the anthropogenic aerosol effect  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Ulrike Lohmann, Sylvaine Ferrachat] 
246 0 |a Atmos. chem. phys. 
506 |a Open access  |2 ethresearch 
520 3 |a Clouds constitute a large uncertainty in global climate modeling and climate change projections as many clouds are smaller than the size of a model grid box. Some processes, such as the rates of rain and snow formation that have a large impact on climate, cannot be observed. The uncertain parameters in the representation of these processes are therefore adjusted in order to achieve radiation balance. Here we systematically investigate the impact of key tunable parameters within the convective and stratiform cloud schemes and of the ice cloud optical properties on the present-day climate in terms of clouds, radiation and precipitation. The total anthropogenic aerosol effect between pre-industrial and present-day times amounts to −1.00 W m−2 obtained as an average over all simulations as compared to −1.02 W m−2 from those simulations where the global annual mean top-of-the atmosphere radiation balance is within ±1 W m−2. Thus tuning of the present-day climate does not seem to have an influence on the total anthropogenic aerosol effect. The parametric uncertainty regarding the above mentioned cloud parameters has an uncertainty range of 25% between the minimum and maximum value when taking all simulations into account. It is reduced to 11% when only the simulations with a balanced top-of-the atmosphere radiation are considered. 
540 |a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported  |u http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0  |2 ethresearch 
700 1 |a Ferrachat  |D Sylvaine  |e joint author 
773 0 |t Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics  |d Munich : European Geophysical Society  |g 10 (23), pp. 11373-11383  |x 1680-7375 
856 4 0 |u http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/28835  |q text/html  |z WWW-Backlink auf das Repository (Open access) 
908 |D 1  |a Journal Article  |2 ethresearch 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 856  |E 40  |u http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/28835  |q text/html  |z WWW-Backlink auf das Repository (Open access) 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 100  |E 1-  |a Lohmann  |D Ulrike 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Ferrachat  |D Sylvaine  |e joint author 
950 |B ETHRESEARCH  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics  |d Munich : European Geophysical Society  |g 10 (23), pp. 11373-11383  |x 1680-7375 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
949 |B ETHRESEARCH  |F ETHRESEARCH  |b ETHRESEARCH  |j Journal Article  |c Open access