Do correlated defaults matter for CDS premia? An empirical analysis

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Christian Koziol, Philipp Koziol, Thomas Schön]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Review of Derivatives Research, 18/3(2015-10-01), 191-224
Format:
Artikel (online)
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s11147-015-9109-4  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s11147-015-9109-4 
245 0 0 |a Do correlated defaults matter for CDS premia? An empirical analysis  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Christian Koziol, Philipp Koziol, Thomas Schön] 
520 3 |a Correlated default factors and systemic risk are clearly priced in credit portfolio securities such as CDOs or index CDSs. In this paper we study an extensive CDX data set for evidence of whether correlated default factors are also present in the underlying CDS market. We develop a cash-flow-based top-down approach for modeling CDSs from which we can derive the following major contributions: (1) Correlated default factors did not matter for CDS prices prior to the financial crisis in 2008. During and after the crisis, however, their importance increased strongly. (2) We observe that correlated default factors primarily impact on the CDS prices of firms with an overall low CDS level. (3) Idiosyncratic risk factors for each single CDS play a major (minor) role when the CDS premia are high (low). 
540 |a European Union, 2015 
690 7 |a Correlated defaults  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Systemic risk  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Idiosyncratic risk  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Collateralized debt obligations  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Credit default swaps  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Credit derivatives  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Koziol  |D Christian  |u Department of Finance, University of Tübingen, Nauklerstr. 47, 72074, Tübingen, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Koziol  |D Philipp  |u Deutsche Bundesbank, Wilhelm-Epstein-Str. 14, 60431, Frankfurt, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Schön  |D Thomas  |u Department of Finance, University of Tübingen, Nauklerstr. 47, 72074, Tübingen, Germany  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Review of Derivatives Research  |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com  |g 18/3(2015-10-01), 191-224  |x 1380-6645  |q 18:3<191  |1 2015  |2 18  |o 11147 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s11147-015-9109-4  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s11147-015-9109-4  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Koziol  |D Christian  |u Department of Finance, University of Tübingen, Nauklerstr. 47, 72074, Tübingen, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Koziol  |D Philipp  |u Deutsche Bundesbank, Wilhelm-Epstein-Str. 14, 60431, Frankfurt, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Schön  |D Thomas  |u Department of Finance, University of Tübingen, Nauklerstr. 47, 72074, Tübingen, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Review of Derivatives Research  |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com  |g 18/3(2015-10-01), 191-224  |x 1380-6645  |q 18:3<191  |1 2015  |2 18  |o 11147