Landslide susceptibility analysis in data-scarce regions: the case of Kyrgyzstan

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Annamaria Saponaro, Marco Pilz, Marc Wieland, Dino Bindi, Bolot Moldobekov, Stefano Parolai]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 74/4(2015-11-01), 1117-1136
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605454566
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s10064-014-0709-2  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10064-014-0709-2 
245 0 0 |a Landslide susceptibility analysis in data-scarce regions: the case of Kyrgyzstan  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Annamaria Saponaro, Marco Pilz, Marc Wieland, Dino Bindi, Bolot Moldobekov, Stefano Parolai] 
520 3 |a Kyrgyzstan is one of the most exposed countries in the world to landslide hazard. The large variability of local geological materials, together with the difficulties in forecasting heavy precipitation locally and in quantifying the level of ground shaking, call for harmonized procedures to better quantify the hazard and the negative impact of slope failures. By exploiting new advances in Geographic Information System (GIS) technology, together with concepts from Bayesian statistics, and promoting the use of open-source tools, we aim to identify areas in Kyrgyzstan where the potential for landslide activation exists. A range of conditioning factors and their potential impact on landslide occurrence are quantitatively assessed on the basis of the spatial distribution of landslides by applying weights-of-evidence modelling based on (1) a landslide inventory of past events, (2) terrain-derived variables of slope, aspect and curvature, (3) a geological map, (4) a distance from faults map, and (5) a seismic intensity map. A spatial validation of the proposed method has been performed, indicating sufficient measures of significance to predicted results. Initial results are promising and demonstrate the applicability of the method to all of Kyrgyzstan, allowing the identification of areas that are more susceptible to landslides with a level of accuracy greater than 70%. The presented method is, therefore, capable of supporting land planning activities at the regional scale in places where only scarce data are available. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Landslides  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Susceptibility  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a GIS  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Weights-of-evidence  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Kyrgyzstan  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Saponaro  |D Annamaria  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Pilz  |D Marco  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Wieland  |D Marc  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Bindi  |D Dino  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Moldobekov  |D Bolot  |u Central Asian Institute for Applied Geosciences, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Parolai  |D Stefano  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 74/4(2015-11-01), 1117-1136  |x 1435-9529  |q 74:4<1117  |1 2015  |2 74  |o 10064 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-014-0709-2  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-014-0709-2  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Saponaro  |D Annamaria  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Pilz  |D Marco  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Wieland  |D Marc  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Bindi  |D Dino  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Moldobekov  |D Bolot  |u Central Asian Institute for Applied Geosciences, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Parolai  |D Stefano  |u Centre for Early Warning, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtzstr. 7, 14467, Potsdam, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 74/4(2015-11-01), 1117-1136  |x 1435-9529  |q 74:4<1117  |1 2015  |2 74  |o 10064