Scaled UKF-NARX hybrid model for multi-step-ahead forecasting of chaotic time series data

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Said Abdulkadir, Suet-Peng Yong]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Soft Computing, 19/12(2015-12-01), 3479-3496
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605469245
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00500-015-1833-z  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00500-015-1833-z 
245 0 0 |a Scaled UKF-NARX hybrid model for multi-step-ahead forecasting of chaotic time series data  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Said Abdulkadir, Suet-Peng Yong] 
520 3 |a Accurate forecasting is critically important in many time series applications. In this paper, we consider forecasting chaotic problems by proposing a hybrid model composed of scaled unscented Kalman filter with reduced sigma points and non-linear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs, trained using a modified Bayesian regulation backpropagation algorithm. To corroborate developments of the proposed hybrid model, real-life chaotic and simulated time series which are both non-linear in nature are applied to validate the proposed hybrid model. Experiment results show that the proposed hybrid model outperforms other forecasting models reported in the literature in forecasting of chaotic time series. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 
690 7 |a Chaotic time series  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a NARX  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Hybrid model  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Multi-step-ahead forecasting  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Scaled UKF-NARX  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Abdulkadir  |D Said  |u Department of Computer and Information Sciences, Universiti Teknologi Petronas (UTP), 31750, Tronoh, Malaysia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Yong  |D Suet-Peng  |u Department of Computer and Information Sciences, Universiti Teknologi Petronas (UTP), 31750, Tronoh, Malaysia  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Soft Computing  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 19/12(2015-12-01), 3479-3496  |x 1432-7643  |q 19:12<3479  |1 2015  |2 19  |o 500 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-015-1833-z  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-015-1833-z  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Abdulkadir  |D Said  |u Department of Computer and Information Sciences, Universiti Teknologi Petronas (UTP), 31750, Tronoh, Malaysia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Yong  |D Suet-Peng  |u Department of Computer and Information Sciences, Universiti Teknologi Petronas (UTP), 31750, Tronoh, Malaysia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Soft Computing  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 19/12(2015-12-01), 3479-3496  |x 1432-7643  |q 19:12<3479  |1 2015  |2 19  |o 500