Is global warming affecting cave temperatures? Experimental and model data from a paradigmatic case study

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[David Domínguez-Villar, Sonja Lojen, Kristina Krklec, Andy Baker, Ian Fairchild]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/3-4(2015-08-01), 569-581
Format:
Artikel (online)
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2226-1  |2 doi 
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245 0 0 |a Is global warming affecting cave temperatures? Experimental and model data from a paradigmatic case study  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [David Domínguez-Villar, Sonja Lojen, Kristina Krklec, Andy Baker, Ian Fairchild] 
520 3 |a This research focuses on the mechanisms that transfer the variations in surface atmospheric temperature into caves to evaluate whether they record the warming trend of recent decades. As a study case, we use the data from a hall in Postojna Cave (Slovenia), which was monitored from 2009 to 2013. The low-frequency thermal variability of this cave chamber is dominated by the conduction of heat from the surface through the bedrock. We implemented a thermal conduction model that reproduces low-frequency thermal gradients similar to those measured in the cave. At the 37m depth of this chamber, the model confirms that the bedrock is already recording the local expression of global warming with a delay of 20-25years, and predicts a cave warming during the coming decades with a mean rate of 0.015±0.004Cyear−1. However, because of the transfer of surface atmosphere thermal variability depends on the duration of the oscillations, the thermal anomalies with periods 7-15years in duration have delay times <10years at the studied hall. The inter-annual variability of the surface atmospheric temperature is recorded in this cave hall, although due to the different delay and amplitude attenuation that depends on the duration of the anomalies, the cave temperature signal differs significantly from that at the surface. As the depth of the cave is a major factor in thermal conduction, this is a principal control on whether or not a cave has already recorded the onset of global warming. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Global warming  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Cave  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Temperature  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Heat conduction  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Postojna  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Domínguez-Villar  |D David  |u Centro Nacional de Investigación sobre la Evolución Humana, Paseo Sierra de Atapuerca s/n, 09002, Burgos, Spain  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Lojen  |D Sonja  |u Department of Environmental Sciences, Jožef Stefan Institute, Jamova 39, 1000, Ljubljana, Slovenia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Krklec  |D Kristina  |u Department of Soil Science, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zagreb, Svetošimunska 25, 10000, Zagreb, Croatia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Baker  |D Andy  |u Connected Waters Initiative Research Centre, University of New South Wales, 110 King St. Manly Vale, 2093, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Fairchild  |D Ian  |u School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, B15 2TT, Birmingham, UK  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/3-4(2015-08-01), 569-581  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:3-4<569  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2226-1  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
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900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2226-1  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Domínguez-Villar  |D David  |u Centro Nacional de Investigación sobre la Evolución Humana, Paseo Sierra de Atapuerca s/n, 09002, Burgos, Spain  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Lojen  |D Sonja  |u Department of Environmental Sciences, Jožef Stefan Institute, Jamova 39, 1000, Ljubljana, Slovenia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Krklec  |D Kristina  |u Department of Soil Science, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zagreb, Svetošimunska 25, 10000, Zagreb, Croatia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Baker  |D Andy  |u Connected Waters Initiative Research Centre, University of New South Wales, 110 King St. Manly Vale, 2093, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Fairchild  |D Ian  |u School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, B15 2TT, Birmingham, UK  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/3-4(2015-08-01), 569-581  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:3-4<569  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382