Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966-2005 to human influence
Gespeichert in:
Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Hui Wan, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Seung-Ki Min]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1713-1726
Format:
Artikel (online)
Online Zugang:
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| 024 | 7 | 0 | |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2423-y |2 doi |
| 035 | |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2423-y | ||
| 245 | 0 | 0 | |a Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966-2005 to human influence |h [Elektronische Daten] |c [Hui Wan, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Seung-Ki Min] |
| 520 | 3 | |a Using an optimal fingerprinting method and improved observations, we compare observed and CMIP5 model simulated annual, cold season and warm season (semi-annual) precipitation over northern high-latitude (north of 50°N) land over 1966-2005. We find that the multi-model simulated responses to the effect of anthropogenic forcing or the effect of anthropogenic and natural forcing combined are consistent with observed changes. We also find that the influence of anthropogenic forcing may be separately detected from that of natural forcings, though the effect of natural forcing cannot be robustly detected. This study confirms our early finding that anthropogenic influence in high-latitude precipitation is detectable. However, in contrast with the previous study, the evidence now indicates that the models do not underestimated observed changes. The difference in the latter aspect is most likely due to improvement in the spatial-temporal coverage of the data used in this study, as well as the details of data processing procedures. | |
| 540 | |a The Author(s), 2014 | ||
| 690 | 7 | |a Climate change |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Detection and attribution |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a High-latitude precipitation |2 nationallicence | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Wan |D Hui |u Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, M3H 5T4, Toronto, ON, Canada |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Zhang |D Xuebin |u Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, M3H 5T4, Toronto, ON, Canada |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Zwiers |D Francis |u Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria, V8W2Y2, Victoria, BC, Canada |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Min |D Seung-Ki |u School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology, 790-784, Pohang, Gyungbuk, Korea |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | |t Climate Dynamics |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1713-1726 |x 0930-7575 |q 45:7-8<1713 |1 2015 |2 45 |o 382 | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2423-y |q text/html |z Onlinezugriff via DOI |
| 898 | |a BK010053 |b XK010053 |c XK010000 | ||
| 900 | 7 | |a Metadata rights reserved |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence |2 nationallicence | |
| 908 | |D 1 |a research-article |2 jats | ||
| 949 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |F NATIONALLICENCE |b NL-springer | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 856 |E 40 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2423-y |q text/html |z Onlinezugriff via DOI | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Wan |D Hui |u Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, M3H 5T4, Toronto, ON, Canada |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Zhang |D Xuebin |u Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, M3H 5T4, Toronto, ON, Canada |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Zwiers |D Francis |u Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria, V8W2Y2, Victoria, BC, Canada |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Min |D Seung-Ki |u School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology, 790-784, Pohang, Gyungbuk, Korea |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 773 |E 0- |t Climate Dynamics |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1713-1726 |x 0930-7575 |q 45:7-8<1713 |1 2015 |2 45 |o 382 | ||