Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966-2005 to human influence

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Hui Wan, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Seung-Ki Min]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1713-1726
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605471304
LEADER caa a22 4500
001 605471304
003 CHVBK
005 20210128100332.0
007 cr unu---uuuuu
008 210128e20151001xx s 000 0 eng
024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2423-y  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2423-y 
245 0 0 |a Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966-2005 to human influence  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Hui Wan, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Seung-Ki Min] 
520 3 |a Using an optimal fingerprinting method and improved observations, we compare observed and CMIP5 model simulated annual, cold season and warm season (semi-annual) precipitation over northern high-latitude (north of 50°N) land over 1966-2005. We find that the multi-model simulated responses to the effect of anthropogenic forcing or the effect of anthropogenic and natural forcing combined are consistent with observed changes. We also find that the influence of anthropogenic forcing may be separately detected from that of natural forcings, though the effect of natural forcing cannot be robustly detected. This study confirms our early finding that anthropogenic influence in high-latitude precipitation is detectable. However, in contrast with the previous study, the evidence now indicates that the models do not underestimated observed changes. The difference in the latter aspect is most likely due to improvement in the spatial-temporal coverage of the data used in this study, as well as the details of data processing procedures. 
540 |a The Author(s), 2014 
690 7 |a Climate change  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Detection and attribution  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a High-latitude precipitation  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Wan  |D Hui  |u Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, M3H 5T4, Toronto, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Zhang  |D Xuebin  |u Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, M3H 5T4, Toronto, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Zwiers  |D Francis  |u Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria, V8W2Y2, Victoria, BC, Canada  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Min  |D Seung-Ki  |u School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology, 790-784, Pohang, Gyungbuk, Korea  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1713-1726  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:7-8<1713  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2423-y  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2423-y  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Wan  |D Hui  |u Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, M3H 5T4, Toronto, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Zhang  |D Xuebin  |u Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, M3H 5T4, Toronto, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Zwiers  |D Francis  |u Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria, V8W2Y2, Victoria, BC, Canada  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Min  |D Seung-Ki  |u School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology, 790-784, Pohang, Gyungbuk, Korea  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1713-1726  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:7-8<1713  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382