Estimating the regional climate responses over river basins to changes in tropical sea surface temperature patterns

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Chii-Yun Tsai, Chris Forest, Thorsten Wagener]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1965-1982
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605471355
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2449-1  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2449-1 
245 0 0 |a Estimating the regional climate responses over river basins to changes in tropical sea surface temperature patterns  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Chii-Yun Tsai, Chris Forest, Thorsten Wagener] 
520 3 |a We investigate how to identify and assess teleconnection signals between anomalous patterns of sea surface temperature (SST) changes and climate variables related to hydrologic impacts over different river basins. The regional climate sensitivity to tropical SST anomaly patterns is examined through a linear relationship given by the global teleconnection operator (GTO, also generally called a sensitivity matrix or an empirical Green's function). We assume that the GTO defines a multilinear relation between SST forcing and regional climate response of a target area. The sensitivities are computed based on data from a large ensemble of simulations using the NCAR Community Atmospheric Model version 3.1 (CAM 3.1). The linear approximation is evaluated by comparing the linearly reconstructed response with both the results from the full non-linear atmospheric model and observational data. The results show that the linear approximation can capture regional climate variability that the CAM 3.1 AMIP-style simulations produce at seasonal scales for multiple river basins. The linear method can be used potentially for estimating drought conditions, river flow forecasting, and agricultural water management problems. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Global atmospheric teleconnections  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Sea surface temperature (SST) variability  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Regional climate sensitivity  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Empirical Green's functions  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Regional climate variability  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Hydrologic climate response  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Tsai  |D Chii-Yun  |u Department of Meteorology, Pennsylvania State University, 16802, University Park, PA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Forest  |D Chris  |u Department of Meteorology, Pennsylvania State University, 16802, University Park, PA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Wagener  |D Thorsten  |u Department of Civil Engineering and Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, BS8 1TR, Bristol, UK  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1965-1982  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:7-8<1965  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2449-1  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2449-1  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Tsai  |D Chii-Yun  |u Department of Meteorology, Pennsylvania State University, 16802, University Park, PA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Forest  |D Chris  |u Department of Meteorology, Pennsylvania State University, 16802, University Park, PA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Wagener  |D Thorsten  |u Department of Civil Engineering and Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, BS8 1TR, Bristol, UK  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1965-1982  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:7-8<1965  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382