Trend and teleconnection patterns in the climatology of extratropical cyclones over the Southern Hemisphere

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Michelle Reboita, Rosmeri da Rocha, Tércio Ambrizzi, Carolina Gouveia]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1929-1944
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605471487
LEADER caa a22 4500
001 605471487
003 CHVBK
005 20210128100333.0
007 cr unu---uuuuu
008 210128e20151001xx s 000 0 eng
024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2447-3  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2447-3 
245 0 0 |a Trend and teleconnection patterns in the climatology of extratropical cyclones over the Southern Hemisphere  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Michelle Reboita, Rosmeri da Rocha, Tércio Ambrizzi, Carolina Gouveia] 
520 3 |a This study investigated the annual and seasonal trend of the extratropical cyclones occurrence, from 1980 to 2012, considering the whole Southern Hemisphere (SH). The influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in the cyclones track density during the austral spring was also evaluated. Mean sea level pressure from National Centers for Environmental Prediction-National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalysis was used in an automatic scheme for cyclones tracking. The influence of the teleconnection patterns in the cyclones location is assessed through two methodologies: composite analysis and partial correlation technique. For whole SH and considering the total of cyclones and the stronger ones (with central pressure lower than 980hPa in some period of their lifecycle) there is a statistically significant positive trend, while for weak cyclones the negative trend is not statistically significant. These patterns of trend occur along the year except in the spring. Regionally, the trend signal (positive or negative) of the cyclones occurrence varies spatially in each austral ocean. We suggested that the positive trend of the cyclones in high latitudes of the South Atlantic and South Pacific Oceans would be associated with the last decades global warming. The number of cyclones in the different phases of the ENSO, SAM and IOD is similar to that of neutral periods. However, these teleconnection patterns are important to modify the preferential regions of cyclones occurrence. The composite analysis of the cyclones track density during ENSO and SAM events is similar to that obtained in the partial correlation; but it is not true for IOD. Isolating ENSO and SAM effects in the cyclones track density, it is observed that the IOD positive phase contributes to the decrease in the cyclones density in large part of SH, particularly over the Indian and western South Pacific Oceans. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Extratropical cyclones  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Southern Hemisphere  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Trend  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Teleconnection patterns  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a ENSO  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a SAM  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a IOD  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Reboita  |D Michelle  |u Instituto de Recursos Naturais, Universidade Federal de Itajubá, UNIFEI, Av. BPS, 1303, CEP: 37500-903, Itajubá, Brazil  |4 aut 
700 1 |a da Rocha  |D Rosmeri  |u Departamento de Ciências Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, Rua do Matão, 1226, CEP: 05508-090, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Ambrizzi  |D Tércio  |u Departamento de Ciências Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, Rua do Matão, 1226, CEP: 05508-090, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Gouveia  |D Carolina  |u Instituto de Recursos Naturais, Universidade Federal de Itajubá, UNIFEI, Av. BPS, 1303, CEP: 37500-903, Itajubá, Brazil  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1929-1944  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:7-8<1929  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2447-3  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2447-3  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Reboita  |D Michelle  |u Instituto de Recursos Naturais, Universidade Federal de Itajubá, UNIFEI, Av. BPS, 1303, CEP: 37500-903, Itajubá, Brazil  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a da Rocha  |D Rosmeri  |u Departamento de Ciências Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, Rua do Matão, 1226, CEP: 05508-090, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Ambrizzi  |D Tércio  |u Departamento de Ciências Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, Rua do Matão, 1226, CEP: 05508-090, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Gouveia  |D Carolina  |u Instituto de Recursos Naturais, Universidade Federal de Itajubá, UNIFEI, Av. BPS, 1303, CEP: 37500-903, Itajubá, Brazil  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 1929-1944  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:7-8<1929  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382