Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[E. Sánchez, S. Solman, A. Remedio, H. Berbery, P. Samuelsson, R. Da Rocha, C. Mourão, L. Li, J. Marengo, M. de Castro, D. Jacob]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 2193-2212
Format:
Artikel (online)
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0 
245 0 0 |a Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [E. Sánchez, S. Solman, A. Remedio, H. Berbery, P. Samuelsson, R. Da Rocha, C. Mourão, L. Li, J. Marengo, M. de Castro, D. Jacob] 
520 3 |a The results of an ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) simulations over South America are presented. This is the first coordinated exercise of regional climate modelling studies over the continent, as part of the CLARIS-LPB EU FP7 project. The results of different future periods, with the main focus on (2071-2100) is shown, when forced by several global climate models, all using the A1B greenhouse gases emissions scenario. The analysis is focused on the mean climate conditions for both temperature and precipitation. The common climate change signals show an overall increase of temperature for all the seasons and regions, generally larger for the austral winter season. Future climate shows a precipitation decrease over the tropical region, and an increase over the subtropical areas. These climate change signals arise independently of the driving global model and the RCM. The internal variability of the driving global models introduces a very small level of uncertainty, compared with that due to the choice of the driving model and the RCM. Moreover, the level of uncertainty is larger for longer horizon projections for both temperature and precipitation. The uncertainty in the temperature changes is larger for the subtropical than for the tropical ones. The current analysis allows identification of the common climate change signals and their associated uncertainties for several subregions within the South American continent. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 
690 7 |a Regional climate modelling  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Climate change  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a South America  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Sánchez  |D E.  |u Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, University of Castilla La Mancha, Avda. Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Solman  |D S.  |u Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA/CONICET-UBA), DCAO/FCEN-UBA UMI IFAECI/CNRS, Ciudad Universitaria Pabellón II Piso 2, C1428EGA, Buenos Aires, Argentina  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Remedio  |D A.  |u Climate Service Center 2.0, Chilehaus Eingang B, Fischertwiete 1, 20095, Hamburg, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Berbery  |D H.  |u Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, 5825 University Research Court Suite 4001, 20740-3823, College Park, MD, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Samuelsson  |D P.  |u Rossby Centre, SMHI, 601 76, Norrköping, Sweden  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Da Rocha  |D R.  |u Dept Ciencias Atmosféricas, Instituto de Astronomía, Geofísica e Ciencias Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Mourão  |D C.  |u Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre-Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Li  |D L.  |u Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, IPSL, CNRS/UPMC, Paris, France  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Marengo  |D J.  |u Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre-Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
700 1 |a de Castro  |D M.  |u Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, University of Castilla La Mancha, Avda. Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Jacob  |D D.  |u Climate Service Center 2.0, Chilehaus Eingang B, Fischertwiete 1, 20095, Hamburg, Germany  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 2193-2212  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:7-8<2193  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Sánchez  |D E.  |u Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, University of Castilla La Mancha, Avda. Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Solman  |D S.  |u Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA/CONICET-UBA), DCAO/FCEN-UBA UMI IFAECI/CNRS, Ciudad Universitaria Pabellón II Piso 2, C1428EGA, Buenos Aires, Argentina  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Remedio  |D A.  |u Climate Service Center 2.0, Chilehaus Eingang B, Fischertwiete 1, 20095, Hamburg, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Berbery  |D H.  |u Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, 5825 University Research Court Suite 4001, 20740-3823, College Park, MD, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Samuelsson  |D P.  |u Rossby Centre, SMHI, 601 76, Norrköping, Sweden  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Da Rocha  |D R.  |u Dept Ciencias Atmosféricas, Instituto de Astronomía, Geofísica e Ciencias Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Mourão  |D C.  |u Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre-Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Li  |D L.  |u Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, IPSL, CNRS/UPMC, Paris, France  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Marengo  |D J.  |u Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre-Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a de Castro  |D M.  |u Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, University of Castilla La Mancha, Avda. Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Jacob  |D D.  |u Climate Service Center 2.0, Chilehaus Eingang B, Fischertwiete 1, 20095, Hamburg, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 2193-2212  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:7-8<2193  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382