caa a22 4500 60547155X CHVBK 20210128100333.0 cr unu---uuuuu 210128e20151001xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0 Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America [Elektronische Daten] [E. Sánchez, S. Solman, A. Remedio, H. Berbery, P. Samuelsson, R. Da Rocha, C. Mourão, L. Li, J. Marengo, M. de Castro, D. Jacob] The results of an ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) simulations over South America are presented. This is the first coordinated exercise of regional climate modelling studies over the continent, as part of the CLARIS-LPB EU FP7 project. The results of different future periods, with the main focus on (2071-2100) is shown, when forced by several global climate models, all using the A1B greenhouse gases emissions scenario. The analysis is focused on the mean climate conditions for both temperature and precipitation. The common climate change signals show an overall increase of temperature for all the seasons and regions, generally larger for the austral winter season. Future climate shows a precipitation decrease over the tropical region, and an increase over the subtropical areas. These climate change signals arise independently of the driving global model and the RCM. The internal variability of the driving global models introduces a very small level of uncertainty, compared with that due to the choice of the driving model and the RCM. Moreover, the level of uncertainty is larger for longer horizon projections for both temperature and precipitation. The uncertainty in the temperature changes is larger for the subtropical than for the tropical ones. The current analysis allows identification of the common climate change signals and their associated uncertainties for several subregions within the South American continent. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 Regional climate modelling nationallicence Climate change nationallicence South America nationallicence Sánchez E. Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, University of Castilla La Mancha, Avda. Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain aut Solman S. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA/CONICET-UBA), DCAO/FCEN-UBA UMI IFAECI/CNRS, Ciudad Universitaria Pabellón II Piso 2, C1428EGA, Buenos Aires, Argentina aut Remedio A. Climate Service Center 2.0, Chilehaus Eingang B, Fischertwiete 1, 20095, Hamburg, Germany aut Berbery H. Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, 5825 University Research Court Suite 4001, 20740-3823, College Park, MD, USA aut Samuelsson P. Rossby Centre, SMHI, 601 76, Norrköping, Sweden aut Da Rocha R. Dept Ciencias Atmosféricas, Instituto de Astronomía, Geofísica e Ciencias Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil aut Mourão C. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre-Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil aut Li L. Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, IPSL, CNRS/UPMC, Paris, France aut Marengo J. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre-Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil aut de Castro M. Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, University of Castilla La Mancha, Avda. Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain aut Jacob D. Climate Service Center 2.0, Chilehaus Eingang B, Fischertwiete 1, 20095, Hamburg, Germany aut Climate Dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 2193-2212 0930-7575 45:7-8<2193 2015 45 382 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Sánchez E. Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, University of Castilla La Mancha, Avda. Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Solman S. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA/CONICET-UBA), DCAO/FCEN-UBA UMI IFAECI/CNRS, Ciudad Universitaria Pabellón II Piso 2, C1428EGA, Buenos Aires, Argentina aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Remedio A. Climate Service Center 2.0, Chilehaus Eingang B, Fischertwiete 1, 20095, Hamburg, Germany aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Berbery H. Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, 5825 University Research Court Suite 4001, 20740-3823, College Park, MD, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Samuelsson P. Rossby Centre, SMHI, 601 76, Norrköping, Sweden aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Da Rocha R. Dept Ciencias Atmosféricas, Instituto de Astronomía, Geofísica e Ciencias Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Mourão C. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre-Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Li L. Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, IPSL, CNRS/UPMC, Paris, France aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Marengo J. Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre-Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- de Castro M. Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, University of Castilla La Mancha, Avda. Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Jacob D. Climate Service Center 2.0, Chilehaus Eingang B, Fischertwiete 1, 20095, Hamburg, Germany aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Climate Dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg 45/7-8(2015-10-01), 2193-2212 0930-7575 45:7-8<2193 2015 45 382