Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[S. Sandeep, R. Ajayamohan]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/1-2(2015-07-01), 337-351
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605472017
LEADER caa a22 4500
001 605472017
003 CHVBK
005 20210128100336.0
007 cr unu---uuuuu
008 210128e20150701xx s 000 0 eng
024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y 
245 0 0 |a Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [S. Sandeep, R. Ajayamohan] 
520 3 |a The low level jetstream (LLJ) transports moisture from the surrounding Oceans to Indian land mass and hence an important component of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). Widening of tropical belt and poleward shifts in mid-latitude jetstreams have been identified as major impacts of global warming on large-scale atmospheric dynamics. A general northward shift in ISM circulation has been suggested recently, based on the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5) simulations. Here, we investigate the current and projected future changes in LLJ in observations as well as the coupled model (CMIP3/CMIP5) simulations. A poleward shift in the monsoon LLJ has been detected both in the observations and coupled model simulations. The poleward shift is also reflected in the future projections in a warming scenario, with the magnitude of shift depending on the degree of warming. Consistent with the LLJ shift, a drying (wet) trend in the southern (northern) part of the western coast of India is also observed in the last three decades. Further analysis reveals that enhanced land-sea contrast resulted in a strengthening of the cross-equatorial sea level pressure gradient over Indian Ocean, which in turn resulted in the northward shift of the zero absolute vorticity contour from its climatological position. The poleward shift in zero absolute vorticity contour is consistent with that of LLJ core (location of maximum low-level zonal winds). Possible uncertainties in the results are discussed in the context of known model biases and ensemble sample sizes. These results assume significance in the context of the concerns over ecologically fragile Western Ghats region in a warming scenario. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Indian monsoon  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Low level jet  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Global warming  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Hydrological cycle  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Western Ghats  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Sandeep  |D S.  |u Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Ajayamohan  |D R.  |u Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/1-2(2015-07-01), 337-351  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:1-2<337  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Sandeep  |D S.  |u Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Ajayamohan  |D R.  |u Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, UAE  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/1-2(2015-07-01), 337-351  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:1-2<337  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382