caa a22 4500 605472033 CHVBK 20210128100336.0 cr unu---uuuuu 210128e20150701xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s00382-014-2411-2 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2411-2 Interannual variability of autumn to spring seasonal precipitation in eastern China [Elektronische Daten] [Kairan Ying, Tianbao Zhao, Xiao-Wei Quan, Xiaogu Zheng, Carsten Frederiksen] The interannual variability of seasonal precipitation in eastern China from fall to following spring is examined for the period of 1951-2004 based on observations at 106 stations. The temporal variability of seasonal mean values is decomposed into intraseasonal (fast) and slow (potentially predictable) components. EOF analysis is then applied to both the fast and predictable components. We find that (1) the most predictable signal migrates in a north-south direction along with the annual cycle of the monsoon in east China, while spatial patterns of the leading fast modes does not change much; (2) the predictable signal of precipitation in eastern China is associated with anomalous atmospheric circulation patterns having more zonally symmetric structures while the fast time-varying precipitation components are accompanied by wavy anomalous atmospheric circulation patterns; (3) the most predictable signal has an apparent 1-season lagged correlation with the interannual variation of sea surface temperature associated with El Niño/Southern Oscillation; (4) The fast rainfall component is largely attributed to the intraseasonal variabilities of the Siberian High over the Eurasian continent and the subtropical high associated with the Western-Pacific-Oscillation-like variabilities over the North Pacific; and (5) The ENSO signal in the fall seasonal precipitation persisted throughout the entire 54-year period while the signal in winter intensified significantly after the mid-1970s. This is attributed to the weaker/stronger intensification of ENSO anomalies in the tropical Pacific during the fall/winter. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 Rainfall nationallicence ENSO nationallicence Interdecadal change nationallicence Seasonal predictable nationallicence Intraseasonal nationallicence Siberian High nationallicence Subtropical high nationallicence Ying Kairan College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China aut Zhao Tianbao Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment Research for East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China aut Quan Xiao-Wei Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado at Boulder and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO, USA aut Zheng Xiaogu College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China aut Frederiksen Carsten The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia aut Climate Dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg 45/1-2(2015-07-01), 253-271 0930-7575 45:1-2<253 2015 45 382 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2411-2 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2411-2 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Ying Kairan College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Zhao Tianbao Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment Research for East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Quan Xiao-Wei Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado at Boulder and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO, USA aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Zheng Xiaogu College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Frederiksen Carsten The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Climate Dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg 45/1-2(2015-07-01), 253-271 0930-7575 45:1-2<253 2015 45 382