Non-stationary and non-linear influence of ENSO and Indian Ocean Dipole on the variability of Indian monsoon rainfall and extreme rain events
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| 024 | 7 | 0 | |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2288-0 |2 doi |
| 035 | |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2288-0 | ||
| 245 | 0 | 0 | |a Non-stationary and non-linear influence of ENSO and Indian Ocean Dipole on the variability of Indian monsoon rainfall and extreme rain events |h [Elektronische Daten] |c [Jagdish Krishnaswamy, Srinivas Vaidyanathan, Balaji Rajagopalan, Mike Bonell, Mahesh Sankaran, R. Bhalla, Shrinivas Badiger] |
| 520 | 3 | |a The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are widely recognized as major drivers of inter-annual variability of the Indian monsoon (IM) and extreme rainfall events (EREs). We assess the time-varying strength and non-linearity of these linkages using dynamic linear regression and Generalized Additive Models. Our results suggest that IOD has evolved independently of ENSO, with its influence on IM and EREs strengthening in recent decades when compared to ENSO, whose relationship with IM seems to be weakening and more uncertain. A unit change in IOD currently has a proportionately greater impact on IM. ENSO positively influences EREs only below a threshold of 100mm day−1. Furthermore, there is a non-linear and positive relationship between IOD and IM totals and the frequency of EREs (>100mm day−1). Improvements in modeling this complex system can enhance the forecasting accuracy of the IM and EREs. | |
| 540 | |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 | ||
| 690 | 7 | |a Dynamic linear models |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Generalised additive models |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a La Nina |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Western Ghats |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Indo-Gangetic plain |2 nationallicence | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Krishnaswamy |D Jagdish |u Ashoka Trust for Research in Ecology and the Environment (ATREE), Royal Enclave Sriramapura, Jakkur Post, 560064, Bangalore, Karnataka, India |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Vaidyanathan |D Srinivas |u Foundation for Ecological Research, Advocacy and Learning (FERAL), Pondicherry Campus, 170/3 Morattandi, Auroville Post, 605101, Villupuram, Tamil Nadu, India |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Rajagopalan |D Balaji |u Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering and Co-operative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Bonell |D Mike |u Centre for Water Law, Policy and Sciences Under the Auspices of UNESCO, University of Dundee, DD1 4HN, Dundee, Scotland, UK |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Sankaran |D Mahesh |u Ecology and Evolution Group, National Centre for Biological Sciences, TIFR, GKVK Campus, Bellary Road, 560065, Bangalore, India |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Bhalla |D R. |u Foundation for Ecological Research, Advocacy and Learning (FERAL), Pondicherry Campus, 170/3 Morattandi, Auroville Post, 605101, Villupuram, Tamil Nadu, India |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Badiger |D Shrinivas |u Ashoka Trust for Research in Ecology and the Environment (ATREE), Royal Enclave Sriramapura, Jakkur Post, 560064, Bangalore, Karnataka, India |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | |t Climate Dynamics |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg |g 45/1-2(2015-07-01), 175-184 |x 0930-7575 |q 45:1-2<175 |1 2015 |2 45 |o 382 | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2288-0 |q text/html |z Onlinezugriff via DOI |
| 898 | |a BK010053 |b XK010053 |c XK010000 | ||
| 900 | 7 | |a Metadata rights reserved |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence |2 nationallicence | |
| 908 | |D 1 |a research-article |2 jats | ||
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| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 856 |E 40 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2288-0 |q text/html |z Onlinezugriff via DOI | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Krishnaswamy |D Jagdish |u Ashoka Trust for Research in Ecology and the Environment (ATREE), Royal Enclave Sriramapura, Jakkur Post, 560064, Bangalore, Karnataka, India |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Vaidyanathan |D Srinivas |u Foundation for Ecological Research, Advocacy and Learning (FERAL), Pondicherry Campus, 170/3 Morattandi, Auroville Post, 605101, Villupuram, Tamil Nadu, India |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Rajagopalan |D Balaji |u Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering and Co-operative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Bonell |D Mike |u Centre for Water Law, Policy and Sciences Under the Auspices of UNESCO, University of Dundee, DD1 4HN, Dundee, Scotland, UK |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Sankaran |D Mahesh |u Ecology and Evolution Group, National Centre for Biological Sciences, TIFR, GKVK Campus, Bellary Road, 560065, Bangalore, India |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Bhalla |D R. |u Foundation for Ecological Research, Advocacy and Learning (FERAL), Pondicherry Campus, 170/3 Morattandi, Auroville Post, 605101, Villupuram, Tamil Nadu, India |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Badiger |D Shrinivas |u Ashoka Trust for Research in Ecology and the Environment (ATREE), Royal Enclave Sriramapura, Jakkur Post, 560064, Bangalore, Karnataka, India |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 773 |E 0- |t Climate Dynamics |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg |g 45/1-2(2015-07-01), 175-184 |x 0930-7575 |q 45:1-2<175 |1 2015 |2 45 |o 382 | ||