Linear interference and the northern annular mode response to El Niño and climate change

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Christopher Fletcher, Ivan Minokhin]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/11-12(2015-12-01), 2977-2991
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605472408
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-015-2518-0  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-015-2518-0 
245 0 0 |a Linear interference and the northern annular mode response to El Niño and climate change  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Christopher Fletcher, Ivan Minokhin] 
520 3 |a The northern annular mode (NAM) characterizes a significant fraction of wintertime climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Understanding the processes governing changes in the NAM on interannual and longer timescales is therefore of critical importance. Previous work reveals a consensus around the negative NAM response to El Niño events (ELN), but considerable disagreement among model projections of the NAM response to climate change (CC), despite the tropical oceans warming in both cases. This work presents numerical simulations with two atmospheric GCMs that reveal robust opposite-signed NAM responses to prescribed sea-surface temperature (SST) anomalies representing ELN (negative NAM) and CC (positive NAM). The primary driver of the sign and amplitude of the NAM response is the linear interference between the planetary waves generated in response to the SST perturbations, and the climatological stationary waves. However, the linear interference framework breaks down in the case involving CC, because the total wave driving of the NAM involves a balance between a strong negative contribution from the eddies related to linear interference, and a strong positive contribution from nonlinear and higher frequency eddies. In addition, the response to CC is less robust in the two models, which may be related to the models' parameterizations causing differences in the sensitivity to imposed SST anomalies. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 
690 7 |a Northern annular mode  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Teleconnections  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Climate change  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Robustness  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a LinearInterference  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a El Niño  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Rossby wave  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Fletcher  |D Christopher  |u Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Minokhin  |D Ivan  |u Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/11-12(2015-12-01), 2977-2991  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:11-12<2977  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2518-0  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2518-0  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Fletcher  |D Christopher  |u Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Minokhin  |D Ivan  |u Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/11-12(2015-12-01), 2977-2991  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:11-12<2977  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382