Evaluation of large-scale meteorological patterns associated with temperature extremes in the NARCCAP regional climate model simulations

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Paul Loikith, Duane Waliser, Huikyo Lee, J. Neelin, Benjamin Lintner, Seth McGinnis, Linda Mearns, Jinwon Kim]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/11-12(2015-12-01), 3257-3274
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605472459
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-015-2537-x  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-015-2537-x 
245 0 0 |a Evaluation of large-scale meteorological patterns associated with temperature extremes in the NARCCAP regional climate model simulations  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Paul Loikith, Duane Waliser, Huikyo Lee, J. Neelin, Benjamin Lintner, Seth McGinnis, Linda Mearns, Jinwon Kim] 
520 3 |a Large-scale meteorological patterns (LSMPs) associated with temperature extremes are evaluated in a suite of regional climate model (RCM) simulations contributing to the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program. LSMPs are characterized through composites of surface air temperature, sea level pressure, and 500hPa geopotential height anomalies concurrent with extreme temperature days. Six of the seventeen RCM simulations are driven by boundary conditions from reanalysis while the other eleven are driven by one of four global climate models (GCMs). Four illustrative case studies are analyzed in detail. Model fidelity in LSMP spatial representation is high for cold winter extremes near Chicago. Winter warm extremes are captured by most RCMs in northern California, with some notable exceptions. Model fidelity is lower for cool summer days near Houston and extreme summer heat events in the Ohio Valley. Physical interpretation of these patterns and identification of well-simulated cases, such as for Chicago, boosts confidence in the ability of these models to simulate days in the tails of the temperature distribution. Results appear consistent with the expectation that the ability of an RCM to reproduce a realistically shaped frequency distribution for temperature, especially at the tails, is related to its fidelity in simulating LMSPs. Each ensemble member is ranked for its ability to reproduce LSMPs associated with observed warm and cold extremes, identifying systematically high performing RCMs and the GCMs that provide superior boundary forcing. The methodology developed here provides a framework for identifying regions where further process-based evaluation would improve the understanding of simulation error and help guide future model improvement and downscaling efforts. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 
690 7 |a Temperature extremes  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Regional climate modeling  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Large-scale meteorological patterns  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a North America  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Model evaluation  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Loikith  |D Paul  |u Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Dr., 91101, Pasadena, CA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Waliser  |D Duane  |u Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Dr., 91101, Pasadena, CA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Lee  |D Huikyo  |u Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Dr., 91101, Pasadena, CA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Neelin  |D J.  |u Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Lintner  |D Benjamin  |u Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a McGinnis  |D Seth  |u Institute for Mathematical Applications to the Geosciences, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Mearns  |D Linda  |u Institute for Mathematical Applications to the Geosciences, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Kim  |D Jinwon  |u Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/11-12(2015-12-01), 3257-3274  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:11-12<3257  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2537-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2537-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Loikith  |D Paul  |u Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Dr., 91101, Pasadena, CA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Waliser  |D Duane  |u Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Dr., 91101, Pasadena, CA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Lee  |D Huikyo  |u Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Dr., 91101, Pasadena, CA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Neelin  |D J.  |u Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Lintner  |D Benjamin  |u Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a McGinnis  |D Seth  |u Institute for Mathematical Applications to the Geosciences, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Mearns  |D Linda  |u Institute for Mathematical Applications to the Geosciences, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Kim  |D Jinwon  |u Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/11-12(2015-12-01), 3257-3274  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:11-12<3257  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382